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Fluminense vs 06.08.26 00:301 – 3Full TimeAgg: 1 – 3
Vasco DA Gama — Copa Do Brasil: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
Vasco DA Gama beat Fluminense 3-1 in the Copa do Brasil Round of 16 clash, overturning Fluminense's dominance in possession to book their place in the next round. Fluminense held 61 percent of the ball but could not translate that control into a winning scoreline against their visitors.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Brenner opened the scoring in the 34th minute, finishing an assist from Thiago Mendes to put Vasco DA Gama ahead at the break. He struck again in the 52nd minute, this time set up by Andrés Gómez, to make it 0-2 and put Fluminense firmly on the back foot after the interval.
Fluminense responded through Martinelli in the 77th minute, Hulk supplying the assist to cut the deficit to 1-2 and give the home side hope of a comeback. But Vasco DA Gama had the final word deep into stoppage time, José Rodríguez scoring in the 90+10th minute to restore the two-goal cushion and confirm the 3-1 win.
Despite conceding the lion's share of possession, Vasco DA Gama were the sharper side in front of goal, edging the shots on target count 7 to 4, a reflection of their clinical finishing on the night.
Brenner scored twice for Vasco DA Gama, netting in the 34th and 52nd minutes to finish with a match-high rating of 8.3.
Fluminense dominated possession with 61 percent of the ball but still finished on the losing side.
Vasco DA Gama won 3–1 away against Fluminense (half-time 0–1).
Fluminense met Vasco DA Gama in the Copa Do Brasil (Round of 16). Kick-off was Thursday, 6 August 2026, 00:30 UTC. Referee: Wilton Pereira Sampaio.
Team pages: Fluminense · Vasco DA Gama · Copa Do Brasil
Before kick-off Sirius gave Fluminense 54%, the draw 28%, Vasco DA Gama 18%. It finished Fluminense 1–3 Vasco DA Gama.
Fluminense's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Fluminense are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their cold finishing due to recover on top gives Fluminense the lean. The draw at 28% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Fluminense sit 180 points higher on our strength rating — 1774 to 1594. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.2% of 12,639 such games. Fluminense sit -0.36 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.7% of 2,323 such games where the class table expected 36.1%. The 300 most similar past games finished 59–23–18.
Vasco DA Gama sit -0.46 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.7% of 2,323 such games where the class table expected 36.1%.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.0 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,047. The goals environment adds 3.2 points to the draw.
Vasco DA Gama have shed 61 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,577 such games vs 34.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Fluminense have played 3+ games in the last two weeks; their opponents haven't. Between equals, congested home sides won 46.9% of 2413 measured games and congested visitors 28.2% of 2452 — the cells disagree with each other and with the flat rest table, so schedule stays a watch item at 0 points.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Copa Do Brasil fixture.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Fluminense 1–3 Vasco DA Gama. Explore more on the Fluminense and Vasco DA Gama team pages or the Copa Do Brasil page.
Vasco DA Gama won 3–1 away against Fluminense (half-time 0–1).
Brenner (34') for Vasco DA Gama; Brenner (52') for Vasco DA Gama; Martinelli (77') for Fluminense; José Rodríguez (90') for Vasco DA Gama.
Goal highlights and video clips from Fluminense 1–3 Vasco DA Gama are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
Fluminense and Vasco DA Gama have met 10 times — 4 wins for Fluminense, 5 wins for Vasco DA Gama and 1 draw.