Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven — Eredivisie: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow3 clips- 5′PSV Eindhoven, goal:0–1
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Excelsior, substitution:off
- 46′Excelsior, substitution:off
- 54′Excelsior, goal:1–1assist
- 56′PSV Eindhoven, goal:1–2assist
- 63′PSV Eindhoven, substitution:off
- 63′PSV Eindhoven, substitution:off
- 68′Excelsior, substitution:off
- 72′PSV Eindhoven, substitution:off
- 74′Excelsior, substitution:off
- 80′Excelsior, substitution:off
- 80′Excelsior, substitution:off
- 84′PSV Eindhoven, substitution:off
- 88′Excelsior, yellow card:Foul
- 89′PSV Eindhoven, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 2
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Player Ratings
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
Match report
PSV Eindhoven edge past Excelsior in five-minute second-half swing
PSV Eindhoven came away from Stadion Woudestein with a 2-1 win over Excelsior in the second round of the Eredivisie season. Ruben van Bommel put the visitors ahead inside five minutes, and that slender lead held through half-time before the match burst into life shortly after the break.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Excelsior levelled on 54 minutes when Casper Widell converted an Irakli Yegoian assist, giving the home crowd hope of turning the contest around. That hope lasted only two minutes: Ricardo Pepi restored PSV's advantage in the 56th minute, finishing off a Sergiño Dest assist to make it 1-2, and the scoreline stayed that way until the final whistle.
PSV dominated territory and chances throughout, holding 59 percent of possession and firing 20 shots to Excelsior's five, with seven finding the target compared to the hosts' two. The visitors' 2.21 expected-goals figure against Excelsior's 0.32 reflected a match in which PSV controlled proceedings despite conceding the game's opening goal against the run of eventual play. The result lifted PSV to second in the table on four points from two games, while Excelsior sit third with three.
Joey Veerman was rated the top performer on the pitch at 8.0 despite not registering a goal or assist, underlining his influence in PSV's control of the match. Casper Widell also impressed for Excelsior, scoring the equaliser to earn a 7.9 rating.
PSV's 20 shots to Excelsior's five underlined how one-sided the contest was in terms of attacking output.
PSV Eindhoven won 2–1 away against Excelsior (half-time 0–1).
Excelsior met PSV Eindhoven in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 2). Kick-off was Saturday, 15 August 2026, 18:00 UTC at Stadion Woudestein. Referee: Marc Nagtegaal.
Team pages: Excelsior · PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie
Key moments
- 5' Goal: Ruben van Bommel — 0–1 · Watch Ruben van Bommel's goal video (5')
- 54' Goal: Casper Widell (assist: Irakli Yegoian) — 1–1 · Watch Casper Widell's goal video (54')
- 56' Goal: Ricardo Pepi (assist: Sergiño Dest) — 1–2 · Watch Ricardo Pepi's goal video (56')
Starting line-ups
Excelsior (4-3-3)
PSV Eindhoven (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Excelsior 13%, the draw 19%, PSV Eindhoven 68%. It finished Excelsior 1–2 PSV Eindhoven.
PSV Eindhoven's rating gap outweighs Excelsior's home ground — PSV Eindhoven are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives PSV Eindhoven a clear lead. The draw at 19% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why PSV Eindhoven at 68%?
PSV Eindhoven sit 341 points higher on our strength rating — 1585 to 1926. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge on the road won 65.8% of 5,174 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Excelsior's column. Across 10,563 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 15–19–66.
Why only 68%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 68% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 19% and Excelsior at 13%.
Why is the draw only 19%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.0%. These teams' recent games average 4.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,913. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw. The goals environment takes 1.6 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
PSV Eindhoven average 7 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 341 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Excelsior have gained 145 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.5% of 12,153 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Eredivisie fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Ruben van Bommel's goal against Excelsior (5').
- Watch Casper Widell's goal against PSV Eindhoven (54').
- Watch Ricardo Pepi's goal against Excelsior (56').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Excelsior 1–2 PSV Eindhoven. Explore more on the Excelsior and PSV Eindhoven team pages or the Eredivisie page.