Match Events
play_arrow3 clips- -5′Laval, yellow card:Argument
- 12′Laval, substitution:off
- 14′Nantes, substitution:off
- 17′Laval, goal:1–0assist
- 44′Nantes, goal:1–1
- Half-time1 – 1
- 62′Nantes, substitution:off
- 65′Laval, substitution:off
- 65′Laval, substitution:off
- 82′Nantes, substitution:off
- 85′Laval, substitution:off
- 85′Laval, substitution:Y. Courtoff
- 90′Laval, goal:2–1
- 90+7′Laval, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Laval
Nantes
Match report
Houdayer's stoppage-time strike sinks Nantes and lifts Laval
Laval snatched a dramatic 2-1 win over Nantes in a Ligue 2 round two fixture at Stade Francis Le Basser, coming from a level scoreline at the break to claim victory deep into stoppage time. The result lifted David Vignes' side further up the table, while Nantes, managed by Michel Der Zakarian, remain without a win.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The hosts struck first in the 17th minute through T. Dago, who finished off an assist from Ethan Clavreul. Nantes responded just before half-time, with Bahereba Guirassy levelling matters in the 44th minute to send the sides in level at 1-1 at the interval. The contest remained balanced until the very end.
Laval had the better of the possession despite Nantes dominating the ball for large spells, and it was M. Houdayer who settled the contest in the fifth minute of added time at the end, restoring the hosts' lead at 2-1 and securing the points. The late goal completed a turnaround after Nantes had threatened to leave with a point.
M. Houdayer proved decisive with the winning goal deep into stoppage time, capping a rating of 7.6 that made him the top performer on the pitch.
Nantes had the greater share of possession at 59 percent, yet it was Laval who made the breakthroughs that mattered.
Laval beat Nantes 2–1 (half-time 1–1).
Laval met Nantes in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 2). Kick-off was Friday, 14 August 2026, 18:45 UTC at Stade Francis Le Basser. Referee: Antoine Valnet.
Key moments
- 17' Goal: Trevis Dago (assist: Ethan Clavreul) — 1–0 · Watch Trevis Dago's goal video (17')
- 44' Goal: Herba Guirassy — 1–1 · Watch Herba Guirassy's goal video (44')
- 90' Goal: M. Houdayer — 2–1 · Watch M. Houdayer's goal video (90')
Starting line-ups
Laval (4-3-1-2)
Nantes (4-1-4-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Laval 32%, the draw 36%, Nantes 32%. It finished Laval 2–1 Nantes.
Home ground cancels Nantes' rating edge — Nantes are the stronger side on our strength rating, but home ground plus Laval's control of the ball leave Laval and Nantes level. The draw at 36% is the likeliest single result, lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why are Laval and Nantes level?
Home ground, against the rating. Nantes sit 94 points higher on our strength rating — 1497 to 1591. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 32.9% of 10,502 such games. Laval hold 6 more possession points (47 to 41 in recent games) across a 94-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,585 such games where the class table expected 41.3%.
Why only 32% each?
Because Nantes are the stronger side on our strength rating. Nantes sit -0.62 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 32.5% of 1,301 games, vs 28.8% for visitors finishing normally. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Laval's column. Across 10,546 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw the likeliest result?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 2.1 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,076. The goals environment adds 3.8 points to the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Laval are unbeaten in their last 8 league games at home. Rolling home runs look imposing but sides on a 6+ run won 56.3% of 13,488 games vs 54.6% class-expected — and in our walked test the rating already carried it.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Laval vs Nantes final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 2 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Trevis Dago's goal against Nantes (17').
- Watch Herba Guirassy's goal against Laval (44').
- Watch M. Houdayer's goal against Nantes (90').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Laval 2–1 Nantes. Explore more on the Laval and Nantes team pages or the Ligue 2 page.