Dynamo Dresden vs SV Darmstadt 98 — 2. Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow1 clip- 12′Dynamo Dresden, goal:1–0assist
- 26′Dynamo Dresden, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′SV Darmstadt 98, substitution:off
- 59′SV Darmstadt 98, yellow card:Argument
- 71′SV Darmstadt 98, second yellow card:Foul
- 71′SV Darmstadt 98, yellow card:Argument
- 79′Dynamo Dresden, substitution:off
- 79′Dynamo Dresden, substitution:off
- 79′SV Darmstadt 98, substitution:off
- 79′SV Darmstadt 98, substitution:off
- 79′Dynamo Dresden, substitution:off
- 79′SV Darmstadt 98, substitution:off
- 89′Dynamo Dresden, substitution:off
- 89′SV Darmstadt 98, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 0
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Dynamo Dresden
SV Darmstadt 98
Match report
Sterner strike and Klefisch red seal Dynamo Dresden win over Darmstadt
Dynamo Dresden beat SV Darmstadt 98 1-0 in a 2. Bundesliga fixture at the Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, moving up to 11th in the table while Darmstadt remain 15th after two matchdays. Jonas Sterner's early goal proved decisive on a day when Dresden controlled much of the contest against ten men for the closing stages.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Sterner opened the scoring in the 12th minute, finishing from a Vincent Vermeij assist to put Dresden ahead, and that lead held firm through to half-time. The contest turned further in the home side's favour in the 71st minute when Darmstadt's Kai Klefisch was sent off, leaving Kohfeldt's side to see out the remainder of the match a man short.
Dresden dominated territory and chances throughout, finishing with 62 percent possession and six shots on target from twelve attempts compared with just one from Darmstadt's ten. Konrad Oldhafer booked one Dresden player but issued three yellow cards to Darmstadt in addition to the red, reflecting a disciplined defensive effort from the visitors that ultimately could not prevent defeat.
Sterner scored the only goal of the match and finished with a rating of 7.9, the highest of any player on the pitch.
Dresden's 62 percent share of possession underlined their control of the game from start to finish.
Dynamo Dresden beat SV Darmstadt 98 1–0 (half-time 1–0).
Dynamo Dresden met SV Darmstadt 98 in the 2. Bundesliga (Regular Season - 2). Kick-off was Sunday, 16 August 2026, 11:30 UTC at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion. Referee: Konrad Oldhafer.
Team pages: Dynamo Dresden · SV Darmstadt 98 · 2. Bundesliga
Key moments
- 12' Goal: Jonas Sterner (assist: Vincent Vermeij) — 1–0 · Watch Jonas Sterner's goal video (12')
- 71' Red card: Kai Klefisch
Starting line-ups
Dynamo Dresden (4-2-3-1)
SV Darmstadt 98 (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Dynamo Dresden 31%, the draw 29%, SV Darmstadt 98 40%. It finished Dynamo Dresden 1–0 SV Darmstadt 98.
SV Darmstadt 98's rating edge outweighs Dynamo Dresden's home ground — SV Darmstadt 98 are the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives SV Darmstadt 98 the lean. The draw at 29% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why SV Darmstadt 98 at 40%?
SV Darmstadt 98 sit 103 points higher on our strength rating — 1450 to 1554. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,051 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Dynamo Dresden's column. Across 10,596 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 40–26–34.
Why only 40%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 40% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 29% and Dynamo Dresden at 31%.
Why the draw at 29%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,797. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Dynamo Dresden have gained 74 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.5% of 12,164 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. SV Darmstadt 98 have shed 76 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,618 such games vs 34.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Dynamo Dresden vs SV Darmstadt 98 final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this 2. Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Dynamo Dresden 1–0 SV Darmstadt 98. Explore more on the Dynamo Dresden and SV Darmstadt 98 team pages or the 2. Bundesliga page.