Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor — Süper Lig: stats, lineups & analysis
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play_arrow3 clips- -5′Kocaelispor, yellow card:Argument
- 27′Kocaelispor, goal:0–1assist
- 42′Kocaelispor, goal:0–2assist
- 45+1′Kocaelispor, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time0 – 2
- 46′Alanyaspor, substitution:off
- 46′Alanyaspor, substitution:off
- 46′Alanyaspor, substitution:off
- 52′Alanyaspor, goal:1–2assist
- 53′Alanyaspor, yellow card:Foul
- 61′Kocaelispor, substitution:off
- 67′Kocaelispor, substitution:off
- 67′Kocaelispor, substitution:off
- 70′Alanyaspor, substitution:off
- 77′Alanyaspor, substitution:off
- 81′Kocaelispor, yellow card:Foul
- 82′Kocaelispor, substitution:off
- 82′Kocaelispor, substitution:off
- 90′Alanyaspor, yellow card:Argument
- 90+2′Alanyaspor, yellow card:Foul
- 90+3′Kocaelispor, yellow card:Time wasting
- Full-time1 – 2
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Alanyaspor
Kocaelispor
Match report
Kocaelispor edge Alanyaspor after two first-half goals
Kocaelispor won 2-1 away to Alanyaspor at Alanya Oba Stadium on Matchday 9 of the Süper Lig, the visitors establishing a two-goal lead before half-time and holding on after a home fightback in the second period.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Berkan Kutlu opened the scoring in the 27th minute, converting a chance created by Rigoberto Rivas to make it 1-0. Makana Baku doubled the advantage in the 42nd minute from a Florian Ayé assist, and Kocaelispor went into the interval 2-0 ahead.
Alanyaspor reduced the deficit seven minutes after the restart, when Ruan scored from an Enes Keskin delivery in the 52nd minute. No further goals followed, and Kocaelispor saw out the closing stages to take the points despite being outshot by seven attempts to 17 overall.
The result lifted Kocaelispor from eighth to sixth, three points ahead of Alanyaspor, who stayed ninth. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Kocaelispor a 25% chance of winning. Both sides are at home in the Türkiye Kupası on Tuesday, Alanyaspor against 12 Bingölspor and Kocaelispor against Mazıdağı Fosfatspor.
Berkan Kutlu scored the opener and earned the top rating of the match, 8.3. Ruan, who got Alanyaspor's goal, was close behind on 8.2.
Kocaelispor had 17 shots to seven for Alanyaspor, though the hosts were almost level in possession at 49% to 51%.
Kocaelispor won 2–1 away against Alanyaspor (half-time 0–2).
Alanyaspor met Kocaelispor in the Süper Lig (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Friday, 23 October 2026, 17:00 UTC at Alanya Oba Stadium. Referee: Ali Sansalan.
Team pages: Alanyaspor · Kocaelispor · Süper Lig
Key moments
- 27' Goal: Berkan Kutlu (assist: Rigoberto Rivas) — 0–1 · Watch Berkan Kutlu's goal video (27')
- 42' Goal: Makana Baku (assist: Florian Ayé) — 0–2 · Watch Makana Baku's goal video (42')
- 52' Goal: Ruan (assist: Enes Keskin) — 1–2 · Watch Ruan's goal video (52')
Starting line-ups
Alanyaspor (3-4-2-1)
- 48 Paulo Victor
- 20 Fatih Aksoy (c)
- 5 Fidan Aliti
- 3 Nuno Lima
- 11 Ruan
- 55 Baran Gezek
- 42 Gaïus Makouta
- 94 Florent Hadërgjonaj
- 7 İbrahim Kaya
- 10 Ianis Hagi
- 17 Arda Usluoğlu
Kocaelispor (5-4-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Alanyaspor 44%, the draw 31%, Kocaelispor 25%. It finished Alanyaspor 1–2 Kocaelispor.
Alanyaspor edge it on strength, with a live draw — Alanyaspor sit 53 points higher on our strength rating and have the usual home advantage, though Kocaelispor's habit of controlling more of the ball pulls the other way, so we give Alanyaspor 44%. The draw rises from about 27% to 31% because both sides' recent games average 2.1 goals and one side controls the ball.
Why Alanyaspor at 44%?
Alanyaspor sit 53 points higher on our strength rating — 1536 to 1483. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge at home won 50.1% of 11,064 such games.
Why only 44%?
Kocaelispor hold 7 more possession points (51 to 44 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 39.7% across 5,919 games, from 44.0% when styles were level.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Kocaelispor win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.8%. These teams' recent games average 2.1 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 19,767. The goals environment adds 3.0 points to the draw. The control factor adds 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Kocaelispor come into this after a busy window — 12 arrivals, 11 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Out: Massadio Haïdara, an important player, and Tanguy Zoukrou, on a provisional rating. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Süper Lig fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Berkan Kutlu's goal against Alanyaspor (27').
- Watch Makana Baku's goal against Alanyaspor (42').
- Watch Ruan's goal against Kocaelispor (52').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Alanyaspor 1–2 Kocaelispor. Explore more on the Alanyaspor and Kocaelispor team pages or the Süper Lig page.