Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK — Süper Lig: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsbeIN SPORTS TürkiyeYouTubeMatch Events
- 29′Erzurumspor FK, substitution:off
- 41′Gaziantep FK, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 46′Gaziantep FK, substitution:off
- 46′Gaziantep FK, substitution:off
- 53′Erzurumspor FK, goal:0–1assist
- 57′Gaziantep FK, substitution:off
- 64′Erzurumspor FK, goal:0–2assist
- 70′Gaziantep FK, own goal:1–2Own goal
- 74′Gaziantep FK, substitution:off
- 77′Erzurumspor FK, substitution:off
- 77′Erzurumspor FK, substitution:off
- 79′Gaziantep FK, substitution:off
- 83′Erzurumspor FK, substitution:off
- 86′Gaziantep FK, yellow card:Argument
- 90′Erzurumspor FK, goal:1–3assist
- Full-time1 – 3
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Gaziantep FK
Erzurumspor FK
Match report
Erzurumspor FK beat Gaziantep FK 3-1 despite being outshot
Erzurumspor FK won 3-1 away to Gaziantep FK at Gaziantep Stadyumu in a Süper Lig matchday-nine fixture, scoring three times without reply before a late consolation made it close. The match was goalless at half-time, with the hosts holding most of the ball but unable to turn it into a lead.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Erzurumspor broke the deadlock in the 53rd minute, when Miguel Cardoso scored from Eren Tozlu's assist. Eleven minutes later Amar Gerxhaliu doubled the advantage, converting a pass from Orhan Ovacıklı to make it 2-0 on 64 minutes.
Gaziantep pulled one back in the 71st minute through Kerim Çalhanoğlu, set up by Serdar Dursun, and pressed for an equaliser. Instead, Guram Giorbelidze sealed the points in the 90+5 minute, finishing a move created by Mustafa Fettahoğlu to make it 3-1.
The result lifted Erzurumspor from 11th to eighth, on 14 points, while Gaziantep stayed 14th on eight points and have now lost four games in a row. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Erzurumspor FK a 23% chance of winning. Gaziantep next travel to Etimesgut SK in the Türkiye Kupası on Tuesday, while Erzurumspor host Çorum FK in the Süper Lig on Saturday.
Miguel Cardoso opened the scoring in the 53rd minute and earned the top rating of 8.0 for Erzurumspor. Amar Gerxhaliu, who added the second goal, followed closely on 7.9.
Gaziantep had 19 shots to Erzurumspor's 8, yet only seven of them were on target and they scored once.
Erzurumspor FK won 3–1 away against Gaziantep FK (half-time 0–0).
Gaziantep FK met Erzurumspor FK in the Süper Lig (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Saturday, 24 October 2026, 13:00 UTC at Gaziantep Stadyumu. Referee: M. Dakan.
Team pages: Gaziantep FK · Erzurumspor FK · Süper Lig
Key moments
- 53' Goal: Miguel Cardoso (assist: Eren Tozlu) — 0–1
- 64' Goal: Amar Gerxhaliu (assist: Orhan Ovacıklı) — 0–2
- 70' Goal (own goal): Orhan Ovacıklı — 1–2
- 90' Goal: Guram Giorbelidze (assist: Mustafa Fettahoğlu) — 1–3
Starting line-ups
Gaziantep FK (4-1-4-1)
Erzurumspor FK (5-3-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Gaziantep FK 49%, the draw 28%, Erzurumspor FK 23%. It finished Gaziantep FK 1–3 Erzurumspor FK.
Home advantage gives Gaziantep a slight edge — Our strength rating has almost nothing between these sides, 1450 to 1442, so Gaziantep FK's home advantage does most of the work, helped by their usual control of the ball, 51 to 44 in possession. We give the draw 28%, close to the usual rate for evenly matched sides, nudged up by typical scoring and down slightly by that control.
Why Gaziantep FK in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1450 to 1442. Sides this close won 46.0% of 14,522 home games (draw 27.4%, visitors 26.6%). Gaziantep FK hold 7 more possession points (51 to 44 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 48.3% of 5,590 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level.
Why only 49%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 28% and Erzurumspor FK at 23%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Erzurumspor FK win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.4%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,297. The goals environment adds 1.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Erzurumspor FK are newly promoted — game 9 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides are said to struggle, but our rating already carries most of it: across 3,012 first-ten games since 2016 they won 26.8% where the rating expected 28.1% — inside the noise band, below it in six of the ten full seasons we hold and about level last season. Gaziantep FK are 5 games into a new manager (O. Ak), appointed 46 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Süper Lig fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Gaziantep FK 1–3 Erzurumspor FK. Explore more on the Gaziantep FK and Erzurumspor FK team pages or the Süper Lig page.