Match Events
- 28′AVS, goal:0–1H. Santos
- Half-time0 – 1
- 82′AVS, goal:0–2
- Full-time0 – 2
Match report
Sintrense vs AVS — the facts
AVS won 2–0 away against Sintrense (half-time 0–1).
Sintrense met AVS in the Taça de Portugal (Round of 128). Kick-off was Sunday, 20 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Team pages: Sintrense · AVS · Taça de Portugal
Key moments
- 28' Goal: H. Santos — 0–1
- 82' Goal: Rodrigo Pinho — 0–2
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Sintrense 49%, the draw 28%, AVS 23%. It finished Sintrense 0–2 AVS.
Sintrense's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Sintrense are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and that is most of Sintrense's 49%. The draw at 28% is up from the usual 26.5% for a gap this size, as small adjustments add up.
Why Sintrense at 49%?
Sintrense sit 72 points higher on our strength rating — 1532 to 1460. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.4% of 10,491 such games.
Why only 49%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 49% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 28% and AVS at 23%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the AVS win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.7 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,886. The goals environment adds 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Sintrense arrive with 9 fully-tracked matches, so their strength number is a first estimate that will move quickly; AVS bring a 84-game record. New-to-the-record sides are where our rating knows least.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Sintrense vs AVS final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Taça de Portugal fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Sintrense and AVS team pages or the Taça de Portugal page.

