Dynamo Dresden vs FC Schalke 04 — DFB Pokal: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow2 clips- 37′FC Schalke 04, yellow card:Foul
- 44′FC Schalke 04, yellow card:
- Half-time
- 53′Dynamo Dresden, goal:1–0assist
- 60′Dynamo Dresden, yellow card:Argument
- 60′FC Schalke 04, yellow card:Argument
- 61′FC Schalke 04, substitution:off
- 67′Dynamo Dresden, substitution:off
- 68′Dynamo Dresden, substitution:off
- 70′FC Schalke 04, substitution:off
- 70′FC Schalke 04, substitution:off
- 75′Dynamo Dresden, substitution:off
- 75′Dynamo Dresden, substitution:off
- 77′FC Schalke 04, substitution:off
- 82′Dynamo Dresden, substitution:off
- 87′FC Schalke 04, yellow card:Argument
- 87′Dynamo Dresden, yellow card:Argument
- 88′Dynamo Dresden, goal:2–0assist
- 88′FC Schalke 04, yellow card:Dissent
- 90+3′FC Schalke 04, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time2 – 0
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Player Ratings
Dynamo Dresden
FC Schalke 04
Match report
Dynamo Dresden beat Schalke 2-0 to reach DFB Pokal last 16
Dynamo Dresden won 2-0 at the Rudolf-Harbig Stadion on Wednesday evening, beating FC Schalke 04 in the DFB Pokal Round of 32. The hosts, who play in the 2. Bundesliga, saw off their Bundesliga opponents with a goal early in the second half and another two minutes from time.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The first half finished goalless, and the breakthrough arrived in the 53rd minute. Simon Straudi supplied the pass and Patrice Čović finished to make it 1-0. Schalke, managed by Miron Muslić, pushed for an equaliser without finding one, even though they put four shots on target to Dresden's two.
Dresden sealed it in the 88th minute. Alexander Rossipal created the chance and Christoph Daferner converted it to make it 2-0. Both sides collected bookings, with Schalke shown five yellow cards to Dresden's two, but nobody was sent off. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Dynamo Dresden a 30% chance of winning. Dresden next travel to Hannover 96 in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday 1 November, while Schalke host RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on Saturday 31 October.
Patrice Čović earned the highest rating among the performers, 7.98, after scoring the opening goal in the 53rd minute. Goalkeeper Lennart Grill followed on 7.49 as Dresden kept their goal intact.
Schalke managed four shots on target to Dresden's two, yet it was the hosts who found the net twice.
Dynamo Dresden beat FC Schalke 04 2–0 (half-time 0–0).
Dynamo Dresden met FC Schalke 04 in the DFB Pokal (Round of 32). Kick-off was Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 17:00 UTC at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion. Referee: Wolfgang Haslberger.
Team pages: Dynamo Dresden · FC Schalke 04 · DFB Pokal
Key moments
- 53' Goal: Patrice Čović (assist: Simon Straudi) — 1–0 · Watch Patrice Čović's goal video (53')
- 88' Goal: Christoph Daferner (assist: Alexander Rossipal) — 2–0 · Watch Christoph Daferner's goal video (88')
Starting line-ups
Dynamo Dresden (4-2-3-1)
FC Schalke 04 (5-3-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Dynamo Dresden 30%, the draw 28%, FC Schalke 04 42%. It finished Dynamo Dresden 2–0 FC Schalke 04.
Schalke's higher strength rating gives them the edge — We give FC Schalke 04 42%, mainly because our strength rating puts them 122 points higher, and their recent finishing below their chances adds a little, as cold streaks like this have tended to bounce back. The draw sits at 28%, close to the usual rate for a gap this size, with typical scoring nudging it up and that finishing streak nudging it down.
Why FC Schalke 04 at 42%?
FC Schalke 04 sit 122 points higher on our strength rating — 1510 to 1388. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,824 such games. FC Schalke 04 sit -0.62 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.4% of 2,958 such games where the class table expected 35.6%. The 300 most similar past games finished 33–30–37.
Why only 42%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 42% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 28% and Dynamo Dresden at 30%.
Why the draw at 28%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 2.7 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,336. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw. The bounce-back factor takes 1.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Dynamo Dresden have averaged 6 percentage points more possession than FC Schalke 04 in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. A cup tie across divisions: FC Schalke 04 carry a 122-point rating edge over Dynamo Dresden, who play their league football in a division below. We already have 231 rated matches for Dynamo Dresden. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Dynamo Dresden vs FC Schalke 04 final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this DFB Pokal fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Patrice Čović's goal against FC Schalke 04 (53').
- Watch Christoph Daferner's goal against FC Schalke 04 (88').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Dynamo Dresden 2–0 FC Schalke 04. Explore more on the Dynamo Dresden and FC Schalke 04 team pages or the DFB Pokal page.