Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg — Austrian Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
Players to Watch
Sturm GrazRed Bull SalzburgSturm GrazRed Bull SalzburgMatch preview
Sturm Graz host Red Bull Salzburg on Austrian Bundesliga Matchday 12
Sturm Graz welcome Red Bull Salzburg to Stadion Graz-Liebenau on Matchday 12 of the Austrian Bundesliga, with Fabio Ingolitsch's side fourth in the table on 19 points from 11 games. Danny Röhl's visitors sit second on 27 points from the same number of matches, eight points and two places clear of their hosts.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Sturm arrive after a 3-2 home defeat to Celje last time out, which followed a 1-1 draw at Wolfsberger AC. Before that came a 2-2 draw with SV Ried, a 1-0 win over Marseille and a 6-1 victory over Grazer AK. Across those five games Sturm scored 12 goals and conceded seven.
Salzburg lost 2-0 away to Anderlecht in their latest game, having beaten Austria Lustenau 5-1 at home beforehand. Of their last five games, they won three, drew one and lost one, scoring 13 goals and conceding six, and they kept one clean sheet.
Across their last 5 meetings, Sturm Graz won 1, Red Bull Salzburg won 1, with 3 draws. The most recent meeting was Red Bull Salzburg 3–0 Sturm Graz on 20 September 2026. Sturm Graz's latest win in this sample was Red Bull Salzburg 0–2 Sturm Graz on 20 September 2025.
Salzburg won three of their last five games, while Sturm Graz won two, drew two and lost one, and both sides come into the match off a defeat last time out.
Celje is the common reference point, with Sturm Graz losing 3-2 to them at home on 5 November and Salzburg drawing 2-2 with them away on 22 October.
Sturm Graz meet Red Bull Salzburg in the Austrian Bundesliga (Regular Season - 12). Kick-off is Sunday, 8 November 2026, 16:00 UTC at Stadion Graz-Liebenau.
Team pages: Sturm Graz · Red Bull Salzburg · Austrian Bundesliga
Pre-match read
Over 1.5 Goals. League base rate: 82% over 1.5 goals On the other hand: Team over/under identity — Sturm Graz have gone over 1.5 in 76% of their last 38 matches and Red Bull Salzburg in 76% of their last 38, agai
Under 3.5 Goals. League base rate: 30% over 3.5 goals On the other hand: Class gap (83 Elo points, visitors stronger) — Matches with this rating gap ran −1.9pp vs their league norm at this line across 7,889 measur
Under 2.5 Goals. League base rate: 56% over 2.5 goals On the other hand: Team over/under identity — Sturm Graz have gone over 2.5 in 37% of their last 38 matches and Red Bull Salzburg in 58% of their last 38, agai
Both Teams to Score. League base rate: 57% both teams score
Sturm Graz to Score. League base rate: 80% home sides score On the other hand: Class edge (the hosts rated 83 Elo points below their opponents) — Sides with this class edge scored −4.9pp vs their league norm across 7,88
Away averaging 2.5 xG per game Red Bull Salzburg missing 6 core players (DEF) Red Bull Salzburg in stronger form — 2.6 vs 1.6 ppg (n=5) Model expects 1.4 – 2.0 goal split
Model-generated pre-match read. Not betting advice.
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Austrian Bundesliga fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Sturm Graz and Red Bull Salzburg team pages or the Austrian Bundesliga page.