Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama — Brasileirão Série A: stats, lineups & analysis
Highlightsge tvYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow1 clip- 9′Vasco DA Gama, yellow card:
- 21′Fluminense, yellow card:
- 21′Vasco DA Gama, yellow card:
- 40′Vasco DA Gama, yellow card:
- 45+5′Fluminense, yellow card:
- 45+6′Fluminense, yellow card:
- 45+6′Fluminense, yellow card:
- Half-time
- 54′Vasco DA Gama, yellow card:
- 58′Fluminense, substitution:off
- 60′Vasco DA Gama, substitution:offBruno Duarte
- 61′Fluminense, goal:1–0assist
- 74′Vasco DA Gama, substitution:off
- 74′Fluminense, substitution:off
- 74′Vasco DA Gama, substitution:off
- 84′Vasco DA Gama, substitution:off
- 84′Vasco DA Gama, substitution:off
- 85′Fluminense, substitution:off
- 85′Fluminense, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 0
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Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
Match report
Acosta strike gives Fluminense narrow win over Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense edged Vasco DA Gama 1-0 in a Brasileirão Série A round 26 fixture, with the only goal arriving well into the second half to separate the sides. The result lifted Marcão's side back to winning ways after a run that had included defeat to this very opponent earlier in the campaign.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The first half produced no goals, with both teams cautious before the interval. The decisive moment came in the 61st minute when Luciano Acosta converted after being set up by Yeferson Soteldo, putting the home side 1-0 ahead. Vasco DA Gama could not find a way back despite the remaining half hour of play.
Fluminense held the majority of possession, finishing with 55 percent to Vasco DA Gama's 45, and were the more direct side in front of goal, registering 14 shots to their opponents' seven, though both teams managed four efforts on target. Vasco DA Gama committed the bulk of the fouls, with 20 compared to Fluminense's 11, as Davi de Oliveira Lacerda booked four players from each side.
Fábio was rated the top performer on the pitch with a mark of 7.54, edging out Lucas Piton and Martinelli, though the goalkeeper's contribution came without a goal or assist recorded.
Fluminense's 14 shots to Vasco DA Gama's seven underlined their greater attacking threat throughout the contest.
Fluminense beat Vasco DA Gama 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
Fluminense met Vasco DA Gama in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 26). Kick-off was Sunday, 6 September 2026, 00:00 UTC at Estádio do Maracanã. Referee: Davi de Oliveira Lacerda. Attendance: 38,750.
Team pages: Fluminense · Vasco DA Gama · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 61' Goal: Luciano Acosta (assist: Yeferson Soteldo) — 1–0 · Watch Luciano Acosta's goal video (61')
Starting line-ups
Fluminense (4-2-3-1)
- 1 Fábio
- 6 Renê
- 29 Julián Millán
- 4 Ignacio
- 23 Guga
- 8 Martinelli
- 16 Nonato
- 30 Yeferson Soteldo
- 10 Ganso
- 17 Agustín Canobbio
- 7 Hulk
Vasco DA Gama (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Fluminense 58%, the draw 29%, Vasco DA Gama 13%. It finished Fluminense 1–0 Vasco DA Gama.
Fluminense's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Fluminense are the stronger side on our strength rating, and Brasileirão Série A home advantage plus their control of the ball on top give Fluminense a clear lead. The draw at 29% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Fluminense at 58%?
Fluminense sit 120 points higher on our strength rating — 1764 to 1644. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,775 such games. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (24.8% vs 30.2%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.2% of 4,425 games vs 44.9% across all 99,727 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Fluminense hold 10 more possession points (57 to 47 in recent games) across a 120-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,650 such games where the class table expected 41.3%. The 300 most similar past games finished 54–26–20.
Why only 58%?
Vasco DA Gama sit -0.74 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.9% of 2,413 such games where the class table expected 36.3%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Vasco DA Gama win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.4 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,731. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 2.1 points. The goals environment adds 1.3 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Vasco DA Gama are winless in their last 15 league games away from home (5 draws, 10 defeats), a run going back to November 2025. A long road winless run reads like a warning, but the receipts don't treat it as one: visitors on a 6+ league run without an away win won 25.7% of 13,621 games vs 24.9% class-expected — slightly more, not fewer. Vasco DA Gama are missing 2 regular starters — Robert Renan, Cuiabano — about 21% of their usual starting-XI weight. Our measured receipt covers one-sided absences only, and the picture here isn't one-sided — both squads are short. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Fluminense 1–0 Vasco DA Gama. Explore more on the Fluminense and Vasco DA Gama team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.