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- 36′Gremio, yellow card:
- 38′Gremio, yellow card:
- Half-time
- 46′Gremio, substitution:off
- 48′Gremio, yellow card:
- 48′Vitoria, yellow card:
- 55′Vitoria, yellow card:
- 59′Gremio, yellow card:
- 63′Vitoria, goal:1–0assist
- 69′Gremio, substitution:off
- 69′Gremio, substitution:off
- 69′Gremio, substitution:off
- 72′Vitoria, substitution:off
- 78′Gremio, substitution:off
- 79′Gremio, yellow card:
- 81′Vitoria, substitution:off
- 82′Vitoria, substitution:off
- 82′Vitoria, substitution:off
- 90′Vitoria, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 0
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Vitoria
Gremio
Match report
Rene strike gives Vitoria narrow win over Gremio
Vitoria edged Gremio 1-0 in a Brasileirão Série A round 26 fixture at Barradao, moving them up to 13th in the table with 32 points from 26 games. Gremio, who sit 15th on 28 points from 25 matches, were unable to find a way past their hosts despite pushing for an equaliser.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The only goal of the game arrived in the 63rd minute, when Rene converted an assist from Mateusinho to put Vitoria 1-0 ahead. The scoreline held from that point, with neither side finding the net again as the match wore into its closing stages.
Vitoria produced 20 shots to Gremio's 11, though the visitors edged possession at 53% to 47%. Gremio also picked up more corners with six against one for Vitoria, while discipline was notably stretched on the away side, who collected five yellow cards compared to Vitoria's two, with referee Savio Pereira Sampaio booking seven players in total.
Mateusinho supplied the assist for the decisive goal and was rated the top performer on the pitch with a 7.98 mark, while scorer Rene was not far behind on 7.93.
Vitoria's 20 attempts on goal, nearly double Gremio's 11, underlined their greater attacking threat despite having less of the ball.
Vitoria beat Gremio 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
Vitoria met Gremio in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 26). Kick-off was Monday, 7 September 2026, 23:00 UTC at Barradao. Referee: Savio Pereira Sampaio. Attendance: 8,885.
Team pages: Vitoria · Gremio · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 63' Goal: Rene (assist: Mateusinho) — 1–0
Starting line-ups
Vitoria (4-2-3-1)
- 1 Lucas Arcanjo
- 83 Jamerson
- 36 Luan Cândido
- 2 Emanuel Brítez
- 98 Mateusinho
- 88 Zé Vitor
- 95 Caíque
- 12 Diego Tarzia
- 10 Matheuzinho
- 33 Erick
- 91 Rene
Gremio (4-1-4-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Vitoria 41%, the draw 33%, Gremio 26%. It finished Vitoria 1–0 Gremio.
Home ground outweighs Gremio's rating edge — Gremio are the stronger side on our strength rating, but Brasileirão Série A home advantage plus Gremio's hot finishing due to cool give Vitoria the lean. The draw at 33% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Vitoria at 41%?
Home ground, against the rating. Gremio sit 84 points higher on our strength rating — 1584 to 1668. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 33.0% of 10,608 such games. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (24.9% vs 30.2%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.1% of 4,434 games vs 44.9% across all 99,965 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Gremio scored +0.32 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 28.9% of 1,486 games, vs 29.1% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 41%?
Because Gremio are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 33% and Gremio at 26%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Gremio win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 2.3 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,187. The goals environment adds 4.0 points to the draw. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 2.0 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Gremio are winless in their last 12 league games away from home (4 draws, 8 defeats), a run going back to January 2026. A long road winless run reads like a warning, but the receipts don't treat it as one: visitors on a 6+ league run without an away win won 25.8% of 13,639 games vs 24.9% class-expected — slightly more, not fewer. Gremio are missing 5 regular starters — Erick Noriega, Marlon, Gustavo Martins — about 42% of their usual starting-XI weight. Our measured receipt covers one-sided absences only, and the picture here isn't one-sided — both squads are short. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Vitoria vs Gremio final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Vitoria 1–0 Gremio. Explore more on the Vitoria and Gremio team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.