Philadelphia Union vs 10.10.26 23:302 – 1Full Time
Real Salt Lake — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Philadelphia Union hold off late Real Salt Lake rally to win 2-1
Philadelphia Union beat Real Salt Lake 2-1 at Talen Energy Stadium on Matchday 28 of the Major League Soccer season, extending their winning run to six matches. The home side led for most of the contest before conceding a stoppage-time goal that came too late to change the outcome.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Bruno Damiani broke the deadlock in the 31st minute, finishing from a Francis Westfield assist to give Philadelphia a 1-0 half-time lead. The second half was a patient affair until the 81st minute, when Milan Iloski doubled the advantage after being set up by Cavan Sullivan.
Real Salt Lake, who had lost four of their previous five league games, found a way back into the match deep into added time. Saba Lobzhanidze scored in the 90+6 minute from a Luc De Fougerolles assist to make it 2-1, but there was no time left for an equaliser. The result left Philadelphia on 42 points in 11th, with Salt Lake on 32 in 21st.
Damiani scored the opening goal and earned the highest rating on the pitch, 7.79. Stijn Spierings of Real Salt Lake was next on 7.62, ahead of goalscorer Lobzhanidze on 7.56.
Philadelphia had 14 shots to 11 for Real Salt Lake, a modest edge that reflected how closely contested the match was despite the home side's two-goal lead.
Philadelphia Union beat Real Salt Lake 2–1 (half-time 1–0).
Philadelphia Union met Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 28). Kick-off was Saturday, 10 October 2026, 23:30 UTC at Talen Energy Stadium. Referee: Elijio Arreguin. Attendance: 18,886.
Team pages: Philadelphia Union · Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 31' Goal: Bruno Damiani (assist: Frankie Westfield) — 1–0 · Watch Bruno Damiani's goal video (31')
- 81' Goal: Milan Iloski (assist: Cavan Sullivan) — 2–0 · Watch Milan Iloski's goal video (81')
- 90+6' Goal: Saba Lobzhanidze (assist: Luc De Fougerolles) — 2–1 · Watch Saba Lobzhanidze's goal video (90+6')
Starting line-ups
Philadelphia Union (4-4-2)
Real Salt Lake (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Philadelphia Union 61%, the draw 21%, Real Salt Lake 18%. It finished Philadelphia Union 2–1 Real Salt Lake.
Philadelphia Union's rating edge carries it — Philadelphia Union are the stronger side on our strength rating, and Major League Soccer home advantage on top gives Philadelphia Union a clear lead. The draw at 21% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Philadelphia Union at 61%?
Philadelphia Union sit 144 points higher on our strength rating — 1573 to 1429. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.7% of 13,330 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.2% of 5,207 games vs 44.6% across all 101,016 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 59–25–16.
Why only 61%?
Real Salt Lake sit -0.38 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.7% of 2,497 such games where the class table expected 35.9%.
Why is the draw only 21%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.8%. These teams' recent games average 3.7 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,847. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw. The bounce-back factor takes 1.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Philadelphia Union scored +0.58 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,820 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.4% vs 42.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Philadelphia Union have gained 97 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 39.9% of 11,169 such games vs 40.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Bruno Damiani's goal against Real Salt Lake (31').
- Watch Milan Iloski's goal against Real Salt Lake (81').
- Watch Saba Lobzhanidze's goal against Philadelphia Union (90+6').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Philadelphia Union 2–1 Real Salt Lake. Explore more on the Philadelphia Union and Real Salt Lake team pages or the Major League Soccer page.