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Columbus Crew vs 16.09.26 23:002 – 1Full Time
Orlando City SC — US Open Cup: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
Columbus Crew beat Orlando City SC 2–1 (half-time 1–1).
Columbus Crew met Orlando City SC in the US Open Cup (Semi-finals). Kick-off was Wednesday, 16 September 2026, 23:00 UTC at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field. Referee: A. Da Silva.
Team pages: Columbus Crew · Orlando City SC · US Open Cup
Before kick-off Sirius gave Columbus Crew 44%, the draw 25%, Orlando City SC 31%. It finished Columbus Crew 2–1 Orlando City SC.
Home ground outweighs Orlando City SC's rating edge — Orlando City SC are the stronger side on our strength rating, but home ground plus Columbus Crew's control of the ball give Columbus Crew the lean. The draw at 25% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Home ground, against the rating. Orlando City SC sit 60 points higher on our strength rating — 1557 to 1618. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 32.9% of 10,639 such games. Columbus Crew hold 6 more possession points (59 to 53 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 47.8% of 5,221 games, vs 43.9% when styles were level.
Because Orlando City SC are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 25% and Orlando City SC at 31%.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,225. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw.
Columbus Crew have shed 96 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,758 such games vs 34.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Orlando City SC are 1 game into a new manager (M. Perelman), appointed 3 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the Columbus Crew vs Orlando City SC final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this US Open Cup fixture.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Columbus Crew 2–1 Orlando City SC. Explore more on the Columbus Crew and Orlando City SC team pages or the US Open Cup page.
Columbus Crew beat Orlando City SC 2–1 (half-time 1–1).
Josef Martínez (9') for Columbus Crew; Martín Ojeda (40') for Orlando City SC; Brais Méndez (52') for Columbus Crew.
Goal highlights and video clips from Columbus Crew 2–1 Orlando City SC are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
Columbus Crew and Orlando City SC have met 10 times — 3 wins for Columbus Crew, 4 wins for Orlando City SC and 3 draws.