Crystal Palace vs 12.09.26 14:002 – 3Full Time
Ipswich — Premier League: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsCrystal Palace FCYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow2 clips- 14′Crystal Palace, goal:1–0assist
- 23′Ipswich, goal:1–1assist
- 34′Crystal Palace, red card:Serious foul
- 37′Crystal Palace, substitution:off
- 43′Ipswich, yellow card:Foul
- 45′Ipswich, goal:1–2assist
- Half-time1 – 2
- 58′Ipswich, yellow card:Foul
- 62′Ipswich, substitution:off
- 63′Ipswich, substitution:off
- 63′Ipswich, substitution:off
- 70′Ipswich, yellow card:Foul
- 75′Crystal Palace, goal:2–2assist
- 77′Ipswich, substitution:off
- 77′Crystal Palace, substitution:off
- 77′Crystal Palace, substitution:off
- 84′Crystal Palace, substitution:off
- 84′Crystal Palace, substitution:off
- 88′Ipswich, substitution:off
- 90′Ipswich, goal:2–3
- 90′Ipswich, yellow card:Dissent
- 90+4′Crystal Palace, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time2 – 3
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Crystal Palace
Ipswich
Match report
Ten-man Crystal Palace fall to late Flemming strike as Ipswich win 3-2
Crystal Palace lost 3-2 to Ipswich at Selhurst Park in a Premier League matchday four fixture that swung back and forth before Zian Flemming settled it in the 90th minute. The result leaves Palace, under P. Sage, still searching for consistency, while G. O'Neil's Ipswich moved to seven points from four games.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Anan Khalaili put Palace ahead in the 14th minute, finishing an assist from Daichi Kamada, but Ipswich responded quickly through Emersonn nine minutes later, set up by Leif Davis. The game turned on the 34th minute when Axel Disasi was sent off for the hosts, and Ipswich made the numerical advantage count before the break as Davis turned scorer himself, assisted by Emersonn, to lead 2-1 at half-time.
Despite playing a man short, Palace hauled themselves level in the 75th minute when Jørgen Strand Larsen converted a Kamada assist to make it 2-2. The leveller proved short-lived, however, as Flemming struck in the final minute to restore Ipswich's lead and complete the turnaround, sealing a 3-2 win that took the visitors above their hosts in the table.
Emersonn was involved in both of Ipswich's first-half goals, scoring one and setting up another, and finished with the highest rating on the pitch at 8.63.
Ipswich committed 16 fouls to Palace's six, reflecting the physical edge the visitors carried after going down to ten men.
Ipswich won 3–2 away against Crystal Palace (half-time 1–2).
Crystal Palace met Ipswich in the Premier League (Regular Season - 4). Kick-off was Saturday, 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC at Selhurst Park. Referee: Chris Kavanagh.
Team pages: Crystal Palace · Ipswich · Premier League
Key moments
- 14' Goal: Anan Khalaili (assist: Daichi Kamada) — 1–0
- 23' Goal: Emersonn (assist: Leif Davis) — 1–1
- 34' Red card: Axel Disasi
- 45' Goal: Leif Davis (assist: Emersonn) — 1–2
- 75' Goal: Jørgen Strand Larsen (assist: Daichi Kamada) — 2–2
- 90' Goal: Zian Flemming — 2–3 · Watch Zian Flemming's goal video (90')
Starting line-ups
Crystal Palace (3-4-2-1)
Ipswich (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Crystal Palace 59%, the draw 24%, Ipswich 17%. It finished Crystal Palace 2–3 Ipswich.
Crystal Palace's rating edge carries it — Crystal Palace are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their cold finishing due to recover on top gives Crystal Palace a clear lead. The draw at 24% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Crystal Palace at 59%?
Crystal Palace sit 180 points higher on our strength rating — 1853 to 1673. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,797 such games. Crystal Palace sit -0.34 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 39.0% of 2,436 such games where the class table expected 36.3%. The 300 most similar past games finished 65–19–16.
Why only 59%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Crystal Palace's column. Across 11,058 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,178. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Ipswich average 9 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 180 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Crystal Palace have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Crystal Palace vs Ipswich final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Premier League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Crystal Palace 2–3 Ipswich. Explore more on the Crystal Palace and Ipswich team pages or the Premier League page.