Rayo Vallecano vs 20.08.26 19:001 – 1Full Time
Alaves — La Liga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Mariano Díaz snatches late point for Alaves at Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano and Alaves shared the points in a 1-1 draw at Estadio Municipal de Butarque, a result in La Liga's second round that left Benat San Jose's side still searching for consistency while Quique Sanchez Flores' visitors preserved their unbeaten start.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The hosts made the early running after the break, with Sergio Camello converting three minutes into the second half after being set up by Jorge de Frutos to put Rayo Vallecano 1-0 ahead. The lead held for over half an hour before Mariano Díaz drew Alaves level in the 84th minute, denying the home side victory at the death.
Alaves controlled more of the ball and created the better openings despite finishing with only two shots on target, while Rayo Vallecano's eight attempts yielded three on frame. Referee J. Munuera booked one player from each side as the contest ended honours even.
Camello justified his selection by scoring the opener and finishing with a 7.7 rating, matched only by Alaves defender Pablo Ibáñez, while Mariano Díaz's late equaliser earned him a 7.2 mark.
Alaves' 1.82 expected-goals figure against Rayo Vallecano's 0.4 reflected how much more clinical territory the visitors carved out despite managing fewer shots on target.
Rayo Vallecano and Alaves drew 1–1 (half-time 0–0).
Rayo Vallecano met Alaves in the La Liga (Regular Season - 2). Kick-off was Thursday, 20 August 2026, 19:00 UTC at Estadio Municipal de Butarque. Referee: Jose Luis Munuera Montero.
Team pages: Rayo Vallecano · Alaves · La Liga
Key moments
- 48' Goal: Sergio Camello (assist: Jorge de Frutos) — 1–0 · Watch Sergio Camello's goal video (48')
- 84' Goal: Mariano Díaz — 1–1 · Watch Mariano Díaz's goal video (84')
Starting line-ups
Rayo Vallecano (4-1-4-1)
Alaves (5-3-2)
- 1 Sivera
- 21 Abderrahmane Rebbach
- 17 Jonny
- 16 Ville Koski
- 14 Nahuel Tenaglia
- 7 Angel Pérez
- 18 Mikel Rodríguez
- 18 Mikel Rodriguez
- 8 Antonio Blanco (c)
- 19 Pablo Ibáñez
- 11 Toni Martínez
- 15 Lucas Boyé
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Rayo Vallecano 47%, the draw 28%, Alaves 25%. It finished Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Alaves.
Level sides, Rayo Vallecano's control of the ball swings it — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Rayo Vallecano's control of the ball plus La Liga home advantage give Rayo Vallecano the lean. The draw at 28% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Rayo Vallecano in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1777 to 1801. Sides this close won 43.2% of 15,799 home games (draw 26.7%, visitors 30.1%). Rayo Vallecano hold 11 more possession points (53 to 42 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 47.9% of 5,169 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level. La Liga home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (28.3% vs 30.2%). La Liga homes won 46.7% of 6,086 games vs 44.9% across all 99,157 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 47%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Rayo Vallecano's column. Across 10,628 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Alaves win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.7%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,823. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Rayo Vallecano are unbeaten in their last 9 league games at home. Rolling home runs look imposing but sides on a 6+ run won 56.3% of 13,511 games vs 54.6% class-expected — and in our walked test the rating already carried it. Rayo Vallecano have won the last 4 home meetings with Alaves. Streaks like this look decisive, but sides on a 3+ home run in a fixture won 58.8% of 4,869 such games vs 58.4% class-expected — the strength that built the streak is already in the rating.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this La Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Sergio Camello's goal against Alaves (48').
- Watch Mariano Díaz's goal against Rayo Vallecano (84').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Alaves. Explore more on the Rayo Vallecano and Alaves team pages or the La Liga page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves?
Rayo Vallecano and Alaves drew 1–1 (half-time 0–0).
›Who scored in Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves?
Sergio Camello (48') for Rayo Vallecano; Mariano Díaz (84') for Alaves.
›Where can I watch Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Alaves are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between Rayo Vallecano and Alaves?
Rayo Vallecano and Alaves have met 10 times — 7 wins for Rayo Vallecano, 3 wins for Alaves and 0 draws.