Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge — Jupiler Pro League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 15′Charleroi, goal:1–0assist
- 25′Charleroi, goal:2–0assist
- 30′Cercle Brugge, goal:2–1assist
- 34′Cercle Brugge, substitution:off
- Half-time2 – 1
- 58′Cercle Brugge, substitution:off
- 58′Cercle Brugge, substitution:off
- 61′Charleroi, penalty goal:3–1Penalty
- 62′Charleroi, substitution:off
- 70′Cercle Brugge, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 73′Cercle Brugge, penalty goal:3–2Penalty
- 74′Charleroi, substitution:off
- 74′Charleroi, substitution:off
- 81′Charleroi, substitution:off
- 81′Charleroi, substitution:off
- 81′Cercle Brugge, substitution:off
- 81′Cercle Brugge, substitution:off
- 82′Cercle Brugge, yellow card:Handball
- 82′Charleroi, yellow card:Foul
- 90′Charleroi, yellow card:Mario KohnenDissent
- 90+2′Charleroi, yellow card:Argument
- Full-time3 – 2
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Goals
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Player Ratings
Charleroi
Cercle Brugge
Match report
Charleroi hold off Cercle Brugge comeback to win 3-2
Charleroi beat Cercle Brugge 3-2 at the Stade du Pays de Charleroi in matchday 7 of the Jupiler Pro League, moving further clear in the table against a struggling visiting side.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The hosts raced into a two-goal lead inside the first half hour. Freddy Situmona Mbemba opened the scoring in the 15th minute, assisted by Jakob Romsaas, before Aurélien Scheidler doubled the advantage on 25 minutes with an assist from Patrick Pflücke. Cercle Brugge responded almost immediately through Dante Vanzeir, set up by Erick in the 30th minute, and the sides went in at half-time with Charleroi leading 2-1.
The second half brought further goals from the penalty spot. Scheidler converted in the 61st minute to restore a two-goal cushion at 3-1, completing his brace, before Steve Ngoura pulled one back for Cercle Brugge from the spot in the 73rd minute to make it 3-2. Charleroi held on for the remainder of the match to secure the win.
Charleroi dominated possession with 64 per cent of the ball and produced 14 shots to Cercle Brugge's seven, reflecting their control for large spells despite the away side's late pressure.
Scheidler scored twice, including a penalty, and was involved in the win with a match rating of 7.79.
Charleroi's 64 per cent share of possession underlined their control of the contest throughout.
Charleroi beat Cercle Brugge 3–2 (half-time 2–1).
Charleroi met Cercle Brugge in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off was Saturday, 19 September 2026, 16:15 UTC at Stade du Pays de Charleroi. Referee: Anthony Letellier.
Team pages: Charleroi · Cercle Brugge · Jupiler Pro League
Key moments
- 15' Goal: Freddy Mbemba (assist: Jakob Romsaas) — 1–0
- 25' Goal: Aurélien Scheidler (assist: Patrick Pflücke) — 2–0
- 30' Goal: Dante Vanzeir (assist: Erick Nunes) — 2–1
- 61' Goal (penalty): Aurélien Scheidler — 3–1
- 73' Goal (penalty): Steve Ngoura — 3–2
Starting line-ups
Charleroi (4-2-3-1)
Cercle Brugge (5-3-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Charleroi 57%, the draw 24%, Cercle Brugge 19%. It finished Charleroi 3–2 Cercle Brugge.
Charleroi's rating edge carries it — Charleroi are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Charleroi's 57%. The draw at 24% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Charleroi at 57%?
Charleroi sit 198 points higher on our strength rating — 1666 to 1468. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,822 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 68–18–14.
Why only 57%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 57% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 24% and Cercle Brugge at 19%.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.1%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 25,116.
What did we measure but not count?
Charleroi average 7 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 198 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Charleroi have gained 64 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.4% of 12,385 such games vs 40.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Jupiler Pro League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Charleroi and Cercle Brugge team pages or the Jupiler Pro League page.