Match report
Vestri vs Qarabag — the facts
Qarabag won 3–0 away against Vestri (half-time 0–2).
Vestri met Qarabag in the UEFA Europa League (1st Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 16 July 2026, 20:00 UTC at Throttarvollur. Referee: Marek Radina.
Team pages: Vestri · Qarabag · UEFA Europa League
Key moments
- 5' Goal: J. Mouaddib (assist: Zakaria Sawo) — 0–1
- 29' Goal: Pedro Bicalho (assist: Zakaria Sawo) — 0–2
- 56' Goal: Zakaria Sawo (assist: Kady) — 0–3
Starting line-ups
Vestri (4-1-4-1)
- 1 M. Steinarsson
- 45 G. Einarsson
- 3 Edson Eduardo
- 13 A. Johannsson
- 22 E. Gardarsson
- 7 J. Stensson
- 11 J. Selven
- 14 B. Eydal
- 18 M. Hagbardsson
- 77 S. Fall
- 19 Emmanuel Agyemang Duah
Qarabag (4-2-3-1)
- 99 Mateusz Kochalski
- 5 Bruno Langa
- 4 B. Varkonyi
- 4 Bence Várkonyi
- 55 Badavi Hüseynov
- 2 Matheus Silva
- 8 Marko Janković
- 35 Pedro Bicalho
- 10 Riçard Almeyda
- 10 Abdellah Zoubir
- 20 Kady
- 7 J. Mouaddib
- 11 Zakaria Sawo
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Vestri 18%, the draw 20%, Qarabag 62%. It finished Vestri 0–3 Qarabag.
Qarabag's rating gap outweighs Vestri's home ground — Qarabag are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Qarabag's 62%. The draw at 20% is trimmed by a league that produces few draws.
Why Qarabag at 62%?
Qarabag sit 425 points higher on our strength rating — 1255 to 1679. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge on the road won 65.9% of 5,118 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 16–23–61.
Why only 62%?
UEFA Europa League home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (22.8% vs 24.9% norm). UEFA Europa League homes won 47.5% of 4,364 games vs 44.9% across all 98,173 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw only 20%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 22.2%. Not enough recent scoring data to set the goals dial — the draw stays at the class table's rate. UEFA Europa League produces fewer draws than most, taking 2.1 points off.
What did we measure but not count?
Vestri have 1 fully-tracked match with us — under our usual 25-game bar — but their strength rating is anchored to a conservative baseline from the long-run European club ratings list, which carries their wider competitive history into the number. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Vestri vs Qarabag final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Vestri and Qarabag team pages or the UEFA Europa League page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Vestri vs Qarabag?
Qarabag won 3–0 away against Vestri (half-time 0–2).
›Who scored in Vestri vs Qarabag?
J. Mouaddib (5') for Qarabag; Pedro Bicalho (29') for Qarabag; Zakaria Sawo (56') for Qarabag.
›Where can I watch Vestri vs Qarabag highlights?
This page carries the full match report, stats and lineups for Vestri vs Qarabag; goal clips are added as soon as official highlights are available.
›What is the head-to-head record between Vestri and Qarabag?
Vestri and Qarabag have met 1 time — 0 wins for Vestri, 1 win for Qarabag and 0 draws.