Kalju Nomme vs Linfield — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow1 clip- 47′Kalju Nomme, goal:1–0assist
- 62′Linfield, substitution:D. Wellsoff
- 68′Kalju Nomme, substitution:off
- 71′Linfield, substitution:offI. Baird
- 71′Linfield, substitution:offA. Frizzell
- 81′Linfield, yellow card:C. Shields
- 84′Kalju Nomme, substitution:D. Sotsugovoff
- 84′Kalju Nomme, substitution:off
- 90+2′Linfield, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 0
Lineups
Starting lineups
Formation or player positions unavailable or inconsistent.
Kalju Nomme
Formation unavailable
Linfield
Formation unavailable
Top Performers
Goal
Assist
Videos
Match report
Kalju Nomme vs Linfield — the facts
Kalju Nomme beat Linfield 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
Kalju Nomme met Linfield in the UEFA Europa Conference League (1st Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 9 July 2026, 16:00 UTC at Hiiu Stadium. Referee: A. Simarro.
Team pages: Kalju Nomme · Linfield · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 47' Goal: Roko Vukušić (assist: Oleksandr Musolitin) — 1–0 · Watch Roko Vukušić's goal video (47')
Starting line-ups
Kalju Nomme
Linfield
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Kalju Nomme 32%, the draw 29%, Linfield 39%. It finished Kalju Nomme 1–0 Linfield.
Linfield's rating edge outweighs Kalju Nomme's home ground — Linfield are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Linfield's 39%. The draw at 29% is up from the usual 27.2% for a gap this size, as small adjustments add up.
Why Linfield at 39%?
Linfield sit 141 points higher on our strength rating — 1142 to 1283. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.2% of 12,910 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 37–26–37.
Why only 39%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 39% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 29% and Kalju Nomme at 32%.
Why the draw at 29%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.4 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,356. The goals environment adds 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Linfield have shed 77 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,498 such games vs 34.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Kalju Nomme vs Linfield final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Kalju Nomme 1–0 Linfield. Explore more on the Kalju Nomme and Linfield team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.