Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow2 clips- 37′Paide, goal:0–1assist
- 45′Hegelmann Litauen, goal:1–1
- 45+1′Hegelmann Litauen, missed penalty:Missed penalty
- Half-time1 – 1
- 58′Hegelmann Litauen, substitution:off
- 64′Hegelmann Litauen, substitution:A. Kaulinisoff
- 65′Paide, substitution:off
- 65′Paide, substitution:off
- 65′Paide, substitution:H. Anieroff
- 75′Paide, substitution:off
- 78′Paide, substitution:off
- 79′Hegelmann Litauen, substitution:D. Slendzokaoff
- 79′Hegelmann Litauen, substitution:off
- 79′Hegelmann Litauen, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 1
Lineups
Starting lineups
Formation or player positions unavailable or inconsistent.
Hegelmann Litauen
Formation unavailable
Paide
Formation unavailable
Top Performers
Goals
Assist
Videos
Match report
Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide — the facts
Hegelmann Litauen and Paide drew 1–1 (half-time 1–1).
Hegelmann Litauen met Paide in the UEFA Europa Conference League (1st Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 9 July 2026, 16:00 UTC at Raudondvario stadionas. Referee: Cihan Aydin.
Team pages: Hegelmann Litauen · Paide · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 37' Goal: Abdourahman Badamosi (assist: Michael Lilander) — 0–1 · Watch Abdourahman Badamosi's goal video (37')
- 45' Goal: Vilius Armanavičius — 1–1 · Watch Vilius Armanavičius's goal video (45')
Starting line-ups
Hegelmann Litauen
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Hegelmann Litauen 51%, the draw 26%, Paide 23%. It finished Hegelmann Litauen 1–1 Paide.
A slight rating edge to Hegelmann Litauen, little else — Hegelmann Litauen are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and that is most of Hegelmann Litauen's 51%. The draw at 26% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Hegelmann Litauen at 51%?
Hegelmann Litauen sit 65 points higher on our strength rating — 1165 to 1100. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.6% of 10,256 such games.
Why only 51%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 51% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 26% and Paide at 23%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. Not enough recent scoring data to set the goals dial — the draw stays at the class table's rate.
What did we measure but not count?
Paide have gained 61 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.4% of 11,967 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Hegelmann Litauen (4 fully-tracked matches with us) and Paide (21) carry strength ratings anchored to the long-run European club ratings list, so the class read stands on far more than our own short records. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Abdourahman Badamosi's goal against Hegelmann Litauen (37').
- Watch Vilius Armanavičius's goal against Paide (45').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Hegelmann Litauen 1–1 Paide. Explore more on the Hegelmann Litauen and Paide team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.