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NSI Runavik vs 09.07.26 18:451 – 1Full Time
Hamrun Spartans — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
NSI Runavik and Hamrun Spartans drew 1–1 (half-time 1–0).
NSI Runavik met Hamrun Spartans in the UEFA Europa Conference League (1st Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 9 July 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Team pages: NSI Runavik · Hamrun Spartans · UEFA Europa Conference League
Before kick-off Sirius gave NSI Runavik 31%, the draw 25%, Hamrun Spartans 44%. It finished NSI Runavik 1–1 Hamrun Spartans.
Hamrun Spartans' rating edge outweighs NSI Runavik's home ground — Hamrun Spartans are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their cold finishing due to recover on top gives Hamrun Spartans the lean. The draw at 25% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Hamrun Spartans sit 159 points higher on our strength rating — 1010 to 1169. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.2% of 12,910 such games. Hamrun Spartans sit -0.32 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.8% of 2,301 such games where the class table expected 36.1%. The 300 most similar past games finished 35–27–38.
No scored evidence points the other way. 44% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 25% and NSI Runavik at 31%.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,678. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
NSI Runavik have gained 71 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.4% of 11,967 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. NSI Runavik have 16 fully-tracked matches with us — under our usual 25-game bar — but their strength rating is anchored to the long-run European club ratings list, which carries their wider competitive history into the number. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the NSI Runavik vs Hamrun Spartans final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the NSI Runavik and Hamrun Spartans team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.
NSI Runavik and Hamrun Spartans drew 1–1 (half-time 1–0).
Petur Knudsen (25') for NSI Runavik; T. Bjornstad (56') for Hamrun Spartans.
This page carries the full match report, stats and lineups for NSI Runavik vs Hamrun Spartans; goal clips are added as soon as official highlights are available.
NSI Runavik and Hamrun Spartans have met 1 time — 1 win for NSI Runavik, 0 wins for Hamrun Spartans and 0 draws.