NSI Runavik vs Hamrun Spartans — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 15′NSI Runavik, substitution:F. Drinicoff
- 18′NSI Runavik, yellow card:
- 25′NSI Runavik, goal:1–0assist
- 41′NSI Runavik, yellow card:
- Half-time1 – 0
- 56′Hamrun Spartans, goal:1–1assistL. Villela
- 61′NSI Runavik, substitution:offT. Hestad
- 65′Hamrun Spartans, substitution:offL. Villela
- 79′Hamrun Spartans, substitution:E. Ernestoff
- 79′Hamrun Spartans, substitution:K. Sciclunaoff
- 83′NSI Runavik, substitution:S. SkytteoffM. Lindh
- Full-time1 – 1
Lineups
Starting lineups
Formation or player positions unavailable or inconsistent.
NSI Runavik
Formation unavailable
Hamrun Spartans
Formation unavailable
Top Performers
Goals
Assists
1 assistMatch report
NSI Runavik vs Hamrun Spartans — the facts
NSI Runavik and Hamrun Spartans drew 1–1 (half-time 1–0).
NSI Runavik met Hamrun Spartans in the UEFA Europa Conference League (1st Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 9 July 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Team pages: NSI Runavik · Hamrun Spartans · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 25' Goal: Petur Knudsen (assist: Jann Benjaminsen) — 1–0
- 56' Goal: Tobias Bjørnstad (assist: L. Villela) — 1–1
Starting line-ups
NSI Runavik
Hamrun Spartans
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave NSI Runavik 31%, the draw 25%, Hamrun Spartans 44%. It finished NSI Runavik 1–1 Hamrun Spartans.
Hamrun Spartans' rating edge outweighs NSI Runavik's home ground — Hamrun Spartans are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their cold finishing due to recover on top gives Hamrun Spartans the lean. The draw at 25% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Hamrun Spartans at 44%?
Hamrun Spartans sit 159 points higher on our strength rating — 1010 to 1169. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.2% of 12,910 such games. Hamrun Spartans sit -0.32 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.8% of 2,301 such games where the class table expected 36.1%. The 300 most similar past games finished 35–27–38.
Why only 44%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 44% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 25% and NSI Runavik at 31%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,678. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
NSI Runavik have gained 71 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.4% of 11,967 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. NSI Runavik have 16 fully-tracked matches with us — under our usual 25-game bar — but their strength rating is anchored to the long-run European club ratings list, which carries their wider competitive history into the number. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the NSI Runavik vs Hamrun Spartans final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the NSI Runavik and Hamrun Spartans team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.