Dinamo Tirana vs FC Astana — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 62′FC Astana, substitution:off
- 62′Dinamo Tirana, substitution:F. RucioffM. Ayodeji
- 62′Dinamo Tirana, substitution:offU. Ismaili
- 69′FC Astana, goal:0–1assist
- 74′FC Astana, substitution:offD. Karaman
- 74′FC Astana, substitution:offM. Abrayev
- 76′Dinamo Tirana, substitution:offE. Qardaku
- 76′Dinamo Tirana, substitution:D. FadairooffH. Berisha
- 85′FC Astana, substitution:off
- 86′Dinamo Tirana, substitution:F. FarrukuoffF. Perndreca
- Full-time0 – 1
Lineups
Starting lineups
Formation or player positions unavailable or inconsistent.
Dinamo Tirana
Formation unavailable
FC Astana
Formation unavailable
Top Performers
Goal
Assist
Match report
Dinamo Tirana vs FC Astana — the facts
FC Astana won 1–0 away against Dinamo Tirana (half-time 0–0).
Dinamo Tirana met FC Astana in the UEFA Europa Conference League (1st Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 9 July 2026, 19:00 UTC at Elbasan Arena. Referee: L. Dzivjak.
Team pages: Dinamo Tirana · FC Astana · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 69' Goal: Ramazan Karimov (assist: Marin Tomasov) — 0–1
Starting line-ups
Dinamo Tirana
FC Astana
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Dinamo Tirana 28%, the draw 29%, FC Astana 43%. It finished Dinamo Tirana 0–1 FC Astana.
FC Astana's rating gap, but the draw is in play — FC Astana are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of FC Astana's 43%. The draw at 29% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why FC Astana at 43%?
FC Astana sit 254 points higher on our strength rating — 1212 to 1466. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge on the road won 52.0% of 5,963 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 32–26–42.
Why only 43%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 43% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 29% and Dinamo Tirana at 28%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Dinamo Tirana win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.7%. These teams' recent games average 2.3 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.3% of 17,993. The goals environment adds 3.5 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Dinamo Tirana have 6 fully-tracked matches with us — under our usual 25-game bar — but their strength rating is anchored to the long-run European club ratings list, which carries their wider competitive history into the number. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Dinamo Tirana vs FC Astana final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Dinamo Tirana and FC Astana team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.