Coleraine FC vs HJK Helsinki — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 12′HJK Helsinki, goal:0–1assist
- 34′HJK Helsinki, goal:0–2assist
- Half-time0 – 2
- 46′HJK Helsinki, substitution:off
- 46′HJK Helsinki, substitution:off
- 46′Coleraine FC, substitution:off
- 53′HJK Helsinki, goal:0–3assist
- 54′Coleraine FC, yellow card:Foul
- 56′Coleraine FC, substitution:off
- 65′Coleraine FC, substitution:off
- 65′Coleraine FC, substitution:off
- 78′HJK Helsinki, substitution:off
- 78′HJK Helsinki, substitution:off
- 78′HJK Helsinki, substitution:off
- Full-time0 – 3
Lineups
Tap a player for match stats
Top Performers
Goals
Assists
Match report
Coleraine FC vs HJK Helsinki — the facts
HJK Helsinki won 3–0 away against Coleraine FC (half-time 0–2).
Coleraine FC met HJK Helsinki in the UEFA Europa Conference League (2nd Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 30 July 2026, 18:45 UTC at Inver Park. Referee: Seth Galia.
Team pages: Coleraine FC · HJK Helsinki · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 12' Goal: Toivo Mero (assist: Alfie Cicale) — 0–1
- 34' Goal: Alfie Cicale (assist: Teemu Pukki) — 0–2
- 53' Goal: Mouhamed Guèye (assist: Teemu Pukki) — 0–3
Starting line-ups
Coleraine FC (4-4-2)
HJK Helsinki (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Coleraine FC 25%, the draw 22%, HJK Helsinki 53%. It finished Coleraine FC 0–3 HJK Helsinki.
HJK Helsinki's rating gap outweighs Coleraine FC's home ground — HJK Helsinki are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of HJK Helsinki's 53%. The draw at 22% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why HJK Helsinki at 53%?
HJK Helsinki sit 328 points higher on our strength rating — 1048 to 1377. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge on the road won 65.8% of 5,147 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 28–23–49.
Why only 53%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 53% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 22% and Coleraine FC at 25%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 22.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,687.
What did we measure but not count?
HJK Helsinki have shed 76 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,563 such games vs 34.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Coleraine FC have 10 fully-tracked matches with us — under our usual 25-game bar — but their strength rating is anchored to a conservative baseline from the long-run European club ratings list, which carries their wider competitive history into the number. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Coleraine FC vs HJK Helsinki final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Coleraine FC and HJK Helsinki team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.