Southampton vs Swansea — Championship: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsSouthampton FCYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow4 clips- 9′Southampton, goal:1–0assist
- 33′Southampton, goal:2–0assist
- Half-time2 – 0
- 46′Swansea, substitution:off
- 52′Swansea, penalty goal:2–1Penalty
- 54′Swansea, yellow card:Foul
- 63′Swansea, substitution:off
- 63′Swansea, substitution:off
- 70′Swansea, substitution:off
- 76′Southampton, substitution:off
- 78′Swansea, substitution:off
- 78′Southampton, goal:3–1assist
- 85′Southampton, substitution:off
- 85′Southampton, substitution:off
- 90+2′Southampton, substitution:off
- Full-time3 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
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Player Ratings
Southampton
Swansea
Match report
Southampton overpower Swansea to stay top of Championship
Southampton beat Swansea 3-1 at home in a Championship round six meeting between two sides who had arrived level on points at the top of the table. The result lifted Tonda Eckert's side back into first place after an early flurry settled the contest before half-time.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Finn Azaz opened the scoring in the ninth minute, finishing off a Flynn Downes assist, and Cyle Larin doubled the lead in the 33rd minute after being set up by James Bree, sending Southampton in 2-0 ahead at the break. Swansea pulled one back early in the second half when Žan Vipotnik converted a penalty in the 52nd minute to make it 2-1.
Southampton restored their two-goal cushion in the 78th minute through Léo Scienza, who was teed up by Kuryu Matsuki, sealing the 3-1 scoreline. Southampton finished with more shots, 16 to 10, and a heavier corner count, 9 to 3, despite Swansea holding a narrow edge in possession at 51 percent.
Larin scored Southampton's second goal of the night and was rated the top performer on the pitch with an 8.2 mark, while Scienza and Azaz also found the net in a productive attacking display.
Southampton's dominance in corners, nine to Swansea's three, reflected the home side's control of the game's territorial balance.
Southampton beat Swansea 3–1 (half-time 2–0).
Southampton met Swansea in the Championship (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Tuesday, 8 September 2026, 18:45 UTC at St. Mary's Stadium. Referee: Lewis Smith.
Team pages: Southampton · Swansea · Championship
Key moments
- 9' Goal: Finn Azaz (assist: Flynn Downes) — 1–0 · Watch Finn Azaz's goal video (9')
- 33' Goal: Cyle Larin (assist: James Bree) — 2–0 · Watch Cyle Larin's goal video (33')
- 52' Goal (penalty): Žan Vipotnik — 2–1 · Watch Žan Vipotnik's goal video (52')
- 78' Goal: Léo Scienza (assist: Kuryu Matsuki) — 3–1 · Watch Léo Scienza's goal video (78')
Starting line-ups
Southampton (4-2-3-1)
Swansea (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Southampton 52%, the draw 30%, Swansea 18%. It finished Southampton 3–1 Swansea.
Southampton's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Southampton are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Southampton's 52%. The draw at 30% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Southampton at 52%?
Southampton sit 141 points higher on our strength rating — 1681 to 1541. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,790 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 54–29–17.
Why only 52%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Southampton's column. Across 11,026 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 24.9% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,415 games vs 44.9% across all 99,977 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Swansea win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,777. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 2.0 points. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Southampton scored +0.34 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,844 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Swansea have gained 68 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.4% of 12,330 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Southampton vs Swansea final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Finn Azaz's goal against Swansea (9').
- Watch Cyle Larin's goal against Swansea (33').
- Watch Žan Vipotnik's goal against Southampton (52').
- Watch Léo Scienza's goal against Swansea (78').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Southampton 3–1 Swansea. Explore more on the Southampton and Swansea team pages or the Championship page.