Norwich vs Birmingham — Championship: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsNorwich City Football ClubYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow3 clips- 13′Norwich, yellow card:Foul
- 25′Norwich, yellow card:Foul
- 28′Norwich, goal:1–0assist
- 39′Norwich, goal:2–0assist
- Half-time2 – 0
- 46′Norwich, substitution:off
- 59′Norwich, yellow card:Foul
- 60′Norwich, yellow card:Simulation
- 60′Birmingham, yellow card:Argument
- 62′Birmingham, substitution:off
- 62′Birmingham, substitution:off
- 64′Birmingham, goal:2–1assist
- 65′Norwich, substitution:off
- 71′Norwich, substitution:off
- 71′Norwich, substitution:off
- 82′Birmingham, substitution:off
- 82′Birmingham, substitution:off
- 83′Norwich, yellow card:Argument
- 83′Birmingham, yellow card:Argument
- 90+1′Norwich, substitution:off
- 90+4′Norwich, yellow card:Argument
- Full-time2 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Norwich
Birmingham
Match report
Norwich hold off Birmingham fightback to claim narrow win
Norwich beat Birmingham 2-1 at Carrow Road in a Championship fixture from the sixth round of matches. Oscar Schwartau opened the scoring in the 28th minute, converting an assist from Mathias Kvistgaarden, before Pape Diallo doubled the home side's advantage 11 minutes later, teed up by Andre Brooks, to leave Norwich two goals clear at the interval.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Birmingham improved after the break and pulled one back in the 64th minute through Carlos Vicente, assisted by Liam Millar, but could find no further way past the home defence as Norwich saw out the remainder of the contest to secure all three points.
The hosts edged possession at 51 per cent to 49 and had the greater share of efforts on goal, registering 15 shots to Birmingham's 14 and six on target compared with the visitors' three. Norwich also picked up more bookings, with six yellow cards shown against them to Birmingham's two, though neither side had a man dismissed.
Diallo scored the decisive second goal and finished with the highest rating on the pitch at 7.71, edging out goalscorer Schwartau on 7.45.
Norwich's six shots on target compared with Birmingham's three underlined their greater cutting edge in front of goal.
Norwich beat Birmingham 2–1 (half-time 2–0).
Norwich met Birmingham in the Championship (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Wednesday, 9 September 2026, 18:45 UTC at Carrow Road. Referee: Tom Reeves.
Team pages: Norwich · Birmingham · Championship
Key moments
- 28' Goal: Oscar Schwartau (assist: Mathias Kvistgaarden) — 1–0 · Watch Oscar Schwartau's goal video (28')
- 39' Goal: Pape Diallo (assist: Andre Brooks) — 2–0 · Watch Pape Diallo's goal video (39')
- 64' Goal: Carlos Vicente (assist: Liam Millar) — 2–1 · Watch Carlos Vicente's goal video (64')
Starting line-ups
Norwich (4-2-3-1)
Birmingham (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Norwich 48%, the draw 31%, Birmingham 21%. It finished Norwich 2–1 Birmingham.
Norwich's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Norwich are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and their control of the ball on top gives Norwich the lean. The draw at 31% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Norwich at 48%?
Norwich sit 79 points higher on our strength rating — 1573 to 1495. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.5% of 10,449 such games. Norwich hold 8 more possession points (54 to 46 in recent games) across a 79-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,665 such games where the class table expected 41.3%.
Why only 48%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Norwich's column. Across 11,034 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 24.9% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,421 games vs 44.9% across all 100,021 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Birmingham win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 25,029. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 2.0 points. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Norwich vs Birmingham final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Oscar Schwartau's goal against Birmingham (28').
- Watch Pape Diallo's goal against Birmingham (39').
- Watch Carlos Vicente's goal against Norwich (64').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Norwich 2–1 Birmingham. Explore more on the Norwich and Birmingham team pages or the Championship page.