Burgos vs Real Sociedad II — Segunda División: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 12′Burgos, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 13′Burgos, penalty goal:1–0Penalty
- 30′Real Sociedad II, yellow card:Foul
- 38′Real Sociedad II, goal:1–1assist
- Half-time1 – 1
- 55′Burgos, yellow card:Foul
- 57′Burgos, goal:2–1
- 61′Burgos, substitution:off
- 61′Burgos, substitution:off
- 63′Real Sociedad II, goal:2–2
- 68′Burgos, substitution:off
- 70′Real Sociedad II, substitution:off
- 70′Real Sociedad II, substitution:off
- 76′Burgos, substitution:off
- 76′Burgos, substitution:off
- 82′Real Sociedad II, substitution:off
- 82′Real Sociedad II, substitution:off
- 84′Real Sociedad II, yellow card:Foul
- 90′Real Sociedad II, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 2
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assist
Player Ratings
Burgos
Real Sociedad II
Match report
Burgos and Real Sociedad II share the points in four-goal thriller
Burgos and Real Sociedad II drew 2-2 in a Segunda División round three fixture that swung four times before the sides settled for a share of the spoils. The result left both clubs on four points from three games, with Burgos twelfth and their visitors thirteenth in the table.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Curro Sánchez opened the scoring from the penalty spot after just 13 minutes to give Burgos an early lead. Real Sociedad II responded before the break through Gorka Carrera, who converted an assist from Dani Díaz in the 38th minute to make it 1-1 at half-time.
The second half brought further twists. Álex Forés restored Burgos' advantage in the 57th minute, only for Gorka Gorosabel to level again six minutes later, completing the 2-2 scoreline that stood until full time.
Burgos had the greater share of possession at 54 percent, but Real Sociedad II registered more shots overall, 14 to 10, and edged the shots on target count 5 to 4, reflecting how closely matched the two sides were throughout.
Álex Forés scored Burgos' second goal and finished with a 7.2 rating, matched by Gorka Carrera, who found the net for Real Sociedad II and also rated 7.2.
Despite Burgos holding 54 percent of possession, it was Real Sociedad II who produced more shots on goal, underlining how open and contested the match remained.
Burgos and Real Sociedad II drew 2–2 (half-time 1–1).
Burgos met Real Sociedad II in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 3). Kick-off was Monday, 31 August 2026, 17:00 UTC at Municipal El Plantio. Referee: Iosu Galech.
Team pages: Burgos · Real Sociedad II · Segunda División
Key moments
- 13' Goal (penalty): Curro Sánchez — 1–0
- 38' Goal: Gorka Carrera (assist: Dani Díaz) — 1–1
- 57' Goal: Álex Forés — 2–1
- 63' Goal: Gorka Gorosabel — 2–2
Starting line-ups
Burgos (4-4-2)
Real Sociedad II (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Burgos 53%, the draw 29%, Real Sociedad II 18%. It finished Burgos 2–2 Real Sociedad II.
Burgos' rating edge, but the draw is in play — Burgos are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Burgos' 53%. The draw at 29% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Burgos at 53%?
Burgos sit 155 points higher on our strength rating — 1628 to 1473. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,764 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 59–27–14.
Why only 53%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Burgos's column. Across 10,864 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Real Sociedad II win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.0 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,161. The goals environment adds 3.2 points to the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Burgos scored +0.37 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,816 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Burgos are unbeaten in their last 13 league games at home. Rolling home runs look imposing but sides on a 6+ run won 56.2% of 13,558 games vs 54.5% class-expected — and in our walked test the rating already carried it. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Burgos vs Real Sociedad II final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Segunda División fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Burgos and Real Sociedad II team pages or the Segunda División page.