Real Sociedad II vs Girona — Segunda División: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsLALIGA HYPERMOTIONYouTubeMatch Events
- 15′Girona, red card:Serious foul
- 15′Real Sociedad II, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 17′Real Sociedad II, missed penalty:Missed penalty
- 21′Girona, substitution:off
- 32′Real Sociedad II, yellow card:Foul
- 36′Real Sociedad II, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 57′Girona, substitution:off
- 59′Real Sociedad II, yellow card:Foul
- 62′Real Sociedad II, substitution:off
- 62′Real Sociedad II, substitution:off
- 62′Real Sociedad II, substitution:off
- 62′Real Sociedad II, substitution:off
- 69′Real Sociedad II, yellow card:Foul
- 74′Girona, substitution:off
- 74′Girona, substitution:off
- 74′Girona, substitution:off
- 80′Girona, yellow card:Foul
- 85′Real Sociedad II, substitution:off
- 86′Real Sociedad II, goal:1–0assist
- 88′Real Sociedad II, yellow card:Foul
- 90+4′Real Sociedad II, VAR review:Red card cancelled
- 90+5′Real Sociedad II, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time1 – 0
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Real Sociedad II
Girona
Match report
Real Sociedad II beat ten-man Girona to end losing run
Real Sociedad II won 1-0 at home to Girona in a Segunda División matchday 12 fixture at Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta, Lander Astiazarán's goal four minutes from time ending a run of six defeats in a row for the hosts.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The game turned early. David López was shown a red card for Girona in the 15th minute with the score goalless, and the visitors played the remaining 75 minutes with ten men. Real Sociedad II took the lion's share of possession, 59 per cent to 41, and had 14 shots to 8, though the break came at 0-0.
The decisive moment arrived in the 86th minute, when Dani Díaz set up Astiazarán to give the hosts the lead. Girona, who had scored 0 and conceded 1 after the sending-off, could not find a reply, and their run of seven games unbeaten came to an end.
The result lifted Real Sociedad II from 20th to 18th, on 11 points, while Girona stayed fourth on 21. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Real Sociedad II a 19% chance of winning. Girona host Almeria on Sunday 8 November in the Segunda División, a day before Real Sociedad II travel to Sabadell.
Lander Astiazarán scored the only goal of the match, in the 86th minute, and was the top-rated performer with 7.76. He was set up by Dani Díaz.
Real Sociedad II were booked six times to Girona's one, and the visitors also lost López to a red card.
Real Sociedad II beat Girona 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
Real Sociedad II met Girona in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 12). Kick-off was Saturday, 31 October 2026, 13:00 UTC at Estadio Zubieta. Referee: José Sánchez.
Team pages: Real Sociedad II · Girona · Segunda División
Key moments
- 15' Red card: David López
- 86' Goal: Lander Astiazarán (assist: Dani Díaz) — 1–0
Starting line-ups
Real Sociedad II (4-4-2)
Girona (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Real Sociedad II 19%, the draw 19%, Girona 62%. It finished Real Sociedad II 1–0 Girona.
Girona's strength gap gives them a clear lead — Our strength rating puts Girona 274 points higher, 1640 to 1366, and that gap outweighs the usual home advantage Real Sociedad II start with, so we give Girona 62%. The draw sits at 19%, a little below the usual rate of 21% for a gap this size, because both sides' own recent games average 3.2 goals.
Why Girona at 62%?
Girona sit 274 points higher on our strength rating — 1640 to 1366. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge on the road won 65.7% of 6,310 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 20–22–58.
Why only 62%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 62% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 19% and Real Sociedad II at 19%.
Why is the draw only 19%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 21.1%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,505. The goals environment takes 1.8 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Girona have averaged 6 percentage points more possession than Real Sociedad II in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Last five: Real Sociedad II L-L-L-L-L, Girona D-D-W-W-W — Girona are clearly the hotter side on recent results, and unbeaten in their last 7 on 90-minute results, all competitions (5 wins, 2 draws), a run going back to September 2026. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 43.9% of 2031 games when clearly hotter and 43.8% of 3929 when clearly colder. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Real Sociedad II vs Girona final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Segunda División fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Real Sociedad II 1–0 Girona. Explore more on the Real Sociedad II and Girona team pages or the Segunda División page.