HighlightsLigue 2 BKTYouTubeMatch Events
- 2′Rodez, goal:0–1
- 23′Dijon, goal:1–1assist
- 39′Rodez, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time1 – 1
- 55′Dijon, yellow card:Foul
- 56′Dijon, substitution:off
- 57′Dijon, substitution:off
- 63′Rodez, substitution:off
- 64′Rodez, substitution:off
- 68′Dijon, substitution:off
- 70′Rodez, substitution:off
- 80′Rodez, substitution:off
- 80′Rodez, substitution:off
- 82′Dijon, substitution:off
- 82′Dijon, substitution:offAnge Lago
- 88′Rodez, yellow card:Foul
- 90+2′Rodez, goal:1–2assist
- Full-time1 – 2
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Dijon
Rodez
Match report
Essimi's stoppage-time winner gives Rodez victory at Dijon
Rodez ended a run of six games without a win by beating Dijon 2-1 at Stade Gaston-Gérard in Ligue 2 on matchday 10. Marco Essimi struck in the 90+2 minute to settle a contest that had been level at 1-1 from the 23rd minute, leaving the visitors with three points they had not collected in more than a month.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Rodez had needed only two minutes to take the lead, Antonin Cartillier scoring to make it 1-0 to the visitors. Dijon responded in the 23rd minute, when Yanis Barka finished from a Boubacar Diallo assist to bring the scores level, and the teams went in at 1-1 at half-time.
Dijon dominated the ball, holding 72% of possession and winning ten corners to three, yet the two sides were almost inseparable in attacking terms: 18 shots to 16, with six on target apiece. Kenny Nagera supplied the assist for Essimi's late winner. The result lifted Rodez from 17th to 13th, while Dijon stayed ninth on 12 points. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Rodez a 28% chance of winning. Both sides are in action next on Friday 30 October, Dijon away to Grenoble and Rodez at home to Dunkerque, in Ligue 2.
Essimi, rated 7.77 as the top performer, scored the 90+2 minute winner for Rodez. Cartillier, who put the visitors ahead in the second minute, was close behind on 7.69.
Dijon had 72% of the possession but could not turn it into a result, with Rodez managing the other 28%.
Rodez won 2–1 away against Dijon (half-time 1–1).
Dijon met Rodez in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Saturday, 24 October 2026, 12:00 UTC at Stade Gaston-Gérard. Referee: P. Retail.
Key moments
- 2' Goal: Antonin Cartillier — 0–1
- 23' Goal: Yanis Barka (assist: B. Diallo) — 1–1
- 90+2' Goal: Marco Essimi (assist: Kenny Nagera) — 1–2
Starting line-ups
Dijon (4-1-3-2)
Rodez (5-3-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Dijon 48%, the draw 24%, Rodez 28%. It finished Dijon 1–2 Rodez.
Dijon's control of the ball gives them the edge — Our strength rating has almost nothing between the sides, 1473 to 1486, so Dijon's usual home advantage and their habit of holding the ball, 54% possession to 45% in recent games, put them in front at 48%. The draw sits at 24%, below the usual 27% for sides this level, mainly because both teams' recent games average 3.5 goals.
Why Dijon in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1473 to 1486. Sides this close won 42.4% of 15,607 home games (draw 27.2%, visitors 30.4%). Dijon hold 9 more possession points (54 to 45 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 48.3% of 5,590 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level.
Why only 48%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 24% and Rodez at 28%.
Why the draw at 24%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,375. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Rodez have shed 83 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.0% of 10,359 such games vs 33.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Dijon won 2 of the last 4 meetings with Rodez. The record is 2 wins for Dijon, 1 draw and 1 win for Rodez. These were 4 Ligue 2 games played at both grounds between 7 August 2021 and 8 April 2023. Latest meeting: 8 April 2023 — Dijon 1–0 Rodez. In 5,546 historical matches between similarly rated teams, home sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 44.0%. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Dijon vs Rodez final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 2 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Dijon 1–2 Rodez. Explore more on the Dijon and Rodez team pages or the Ligue 2 page.