Match Events
play_arrow1 clip- 10′Nantes, substitution:off
- 45+2′Nantes, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 53′Saint Etienne, yellow card:Foul
- 58′Nantes, yellow card:Foul
- 60′Nantes, substitution:off
- 60′Nantes, substitution:off
- 62′Nantes, yellow card:Foul
- 64′Saint Etienne, substitution:off
- 64′Saint Etienne, substitution:off
- 83′Nantes, substitution:off
- 83′Nantes, substitution:off
- 84′Saint Etienne, substitution:off
- 84′Saint Etienne, substitution:off
- 88′Saint Etienne, yellow card:Argument
- 88′Nantes, yellow card:Argument
- 90′Saint Etienne, goal:1–0assist
- 90+7′Saint Etienne, substitution:off
- 90+9′Saint Etienne, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time1 – 0
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Saint Etienne
Nantes
Match report
Boakye's late goal lifts Saint Etienne past Nantes
Saint Etienne extended their lead at the top of Ligue 2 with a 1-0 win over Nantes at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard on Matchday 10, settled by Augustine Boakye's goal in the 90th minute. The game stayed goalless through the first half and for most of the second, with the hosts pressing for a breakthrough that arrived only at the death.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Saint Etienne had far more of the ball, holding 65% possession to Nantes's 35%, and outshot the visitors 11 to 4. Even so, the contest was tight on the key measures: shots on target were three to two, and the corner count was close at seven to six. Nantes committed 17 fouls to the hosts' 11 and collected four yellow cards to three.
The decisive moment came when Mahmoud Jaber supplied the assist and Boakye finished to make it 1-0. The result left Saint Etienne first in the table on 25 points, 17 clear of Nantes, who stayed 15th on eight points. Saint Etienne travel to Guingamp on Saturday 31 October in Ligue 2, while Nantes host Clermont Foot on Friday 30 October.
Boakye scored the only goal of the night with a 90th-minute finish, set up by Jaber, and earned the top rating of 7.88 among the performers listed. Kévin Pedro (7.37) and Julien Le Cardinal (7.3) also rated highly for the hosts.
Saint Etienne took 11 shots to Nantes's 4, a clear gap in attempts that was not reflected in the narrow scoreline.
Saint Etienne beat Nantes 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
Saint Etienne met Nantes in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Saturday, 24 October 2026, 18:45 UTC at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard. Referee: Gael Angoula.
Team pages: Saint Etienne · Nantes · Ligue 2
Key moments
- 90' Goal: Augustine Boakye (assist: Mahmoud Jaber) — 1–0 · Watch Augustine Boakye's goal video (90')
Starting line-ups
Saint Etienne (4-2-3-1)
Nantes (5-3-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Saint Etienne 55%, the draw 23%, Nantes 22%. It finished Saint Etienne 1–0 Nantes.
Strength gap puts Saint Etienne in front — We give Saint Etienne 55% mainly because they sit 107 points higher on our strength rating, though Nantes scoring below what their chances deserved pulls a little the other way, as cold streaks like that have bounced back. The draw starts at 25%, the usual rate for this gap, and that finishing streak plus a typical scoring environment trim it to 23%.
Why Saint Etienne at 55%?
Saint Etienne sit 107 points higher on our strength rating — 1607 to 1500. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.5% of 14,325 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 58–25–17.
Why only 55%?
Nantes sit -0.73 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.5% of 2,932 such games where the class table expected 35.6%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,159. The bounce-back factor takes 1.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Saint Etienne scored +0.31 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 3,154 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.1% vs 42.2% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Saint Etienne have gained 61 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 40.0% of 11,927 such games vs 40.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Saint Etienne vs Nantes final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 2 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Saint Etienne 1–0 Nantes. Explore more on the Saint Etienne and Nantes team pages or the Ligue 2 page.