Match Events
- 53′Millwall, goal:0–1
- 62′QPR, substitution:off
- 62′QPR, substitution:off
- 70′QPR, substitution:off
- 76′Millwall, substitution:off
- 76′Millwall, substitution:off
- 77′Millwall, substitution:off
- 79′QPR, substitution:off
- 80′QPR, substitution:off
- 84′Millwall, substitution:off
- 84′Millwall, substitution:off
- 86′QPR, own goal:1–1Own goal
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Match report
Millwall edge past QPR on penalties in League Cup thriller
QPR were eliminated from the League Cup Round of 128 despite fighting back to draw 1-1 with Millwall after normal time, with Alex Neil's side prevailing 2-0 on penalties at Loftus Road Stadium. Luke Cundle broke the deadlock for the visitors early in the second half, and Mark Sykes's own goal deep into the closing stages pulled QPR level to force a shootout.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Cundle's finish arrived in the 53rd minute, giving Millwall a lead they held for over half an hour as QPR pushed for an equaliser. That reply eventually came in the 86th minute when Sykes turned the ball into his own net, sending the tie to penalties after the sides could not be separated over the remaining minutes.
QPR dominated the run of play, enjoying 56 percent of possession and firing eleven shots to Millwall's five, yet it was the away side who converted their sole clear opening through Cundle. Millwall's greater composure under pressure carried through to the shootout, where they held their nerve to see off the home side 2-0 and progress.
Cundle scored the only goal of normal time for Millwall, a display that earned him a match rating of 7.5.
QPR's dominance in territory was clear, with the hosts holding 56 percent of possession to Millwall's 44.
QPR and Millwall drew 1–1 (half-time 0–0). Millwall won the penalty shootout 2–0.
QPR met Millwall in the League Cup (Round of 128). Kick-off was Saturday, 8 August 2026, 13:00 UTC at Loftus Road. Referee: Matt Donohue.
Team pages: QPR · Millwall · League Cup
Key moments
- 53' Goal: Luke Cundle — 0–1
- 86' Goal (own goal): Mark Sykes — 1–1
Starting line-ups
QPR (4-2-3-1)
- 1 Pierce Charles
- 12 Boy Kemper
- 5 Ronnie Edwards
- 3 Jimmy Dunne (c)
- 27 Amadou Mbengue
- 24 Nicolas Madsen
- 20 Harvey Vale
- 11 Paul Smyth
- 10 Ilias Chair
- 16 Rumarn Burrell
- 22 Richard Kone
Millwall (4-2-3-1)
- 1 Lukas Jensen
- 3 Zak Sturge
- 5 Jake Cooper (c)
- 6 Caleb Taylor
- 18 Ryan Leonard
- 14 Jenson Metcalfe
- 24 Casper De Norre
- 10 Camiel Neghli
- 25 Luke Cundle
- 11 Femi Azeez
- 19 Josh Coburn
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave QPR 32%, the draw 29%, Millwall 39%. It finished QPR 1–1 Millwall.
Millwall's rating edge outweighs QPR's home ground — Millwall are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Millwall's 39%. The draw at 29% is up from the usual 27.2% for a gap this size, as small adjustments add up.
Why Millwall at 39%?
Millwall sit 148 points higher on our strength rating — 1403 to 1551. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.2% of 13,019 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 32–30–38.
Why only 39%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 39% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 29% and QPR at 32%.
Why the draw at 29%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,507. The goals environment adds 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Last 6 between them: QPR 1 win, 1 draw, Millwall 4 wins. Most recently Millwall 2–0 QPR, 4 months ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 28.0% of 5561 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points. Millwall's last five: W-D-W-D-L — clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.8% of 2179 games when clearly hotter and 42.9% of 3986 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the QPR vs Millwall final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this League Cup fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the QPR and Millwall team pages or the League Cup page.