Plymouth vs Exeter City — League Cup: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow3 clips- 19′Exeter City, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 46′Exeter City, substitution:off
- 65′Exeter City, substitution:off
- 65′Exeter City, substitution:off
- 67′Plymouth, substitution:off
- 72′Exeter City, substitution:off
- 77′Plymouth, substitution:off
- 78′Exeter City, yellow card:Foul
- 87′Exeter City, second yellow card:Foul
- 90′Plymouth, substitution:off
- 90+2′Plymouth, goal:1–0assist
- 90+4′Plymouth, goal:2–0assist
- Full-time2 – 0
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Player Ratings
Plymouth
Exeter City
Match report
Plymouth break Exeter late as ten men crumble in stoppage time
Plymouth beat Exeter City 2-0 in a League Cup Round of 128 tie at Home Park, with both goals arriving deep into stoppage time after a goalless first 87 minutes had suggested the match might drift towards a low-key finish.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The contest turned in the closing stages when Exeter's Ethan Sutherland was sent off in the 87th minute, leaving his side to see out the remainder with ten men. Plymouth made the numerical advantage count almost immediately, with Alex Hartridge converting a Harvey White assist in the second minute of stoppage time to break the deadlock.
Two minutes later Plymouth doubled their lead as Aribusitamunoipirim Pepple finished off a Frederick Issaka assist, sealing a 2-0 win. Plymouth had dominated territory and chances throughout, with their pressure finally translating into goals only once Exeter were reduced to ten men.
Harvey White provided the assist for Plymouth's opening goal in stoppage time and finished with a rating of 7.9, one of three Plymouth players to share the highest mark on the night.
Plymouth's dominance was reflected in their 21 shots to Exeter's seven, six of which were on target compared to none for the visitors.
Plymouth beat Exeter City 2–0 (half-time 0–0).
Plymouth met Exeter City in the League Cup (Round of 128). Kick-off was Monday, 10 August 2026, 19:00 UTC at Home Park. Referee: Dean Whitestone.
Team pages: Plymouth · Exeter City · League Cup
Key moments
- 87' Red card: Ethan Sutherland
- 90+2' Goal: Alex Hartridge (assist: Harvey White) — 1–0 · Watch Alex Hartridge's goal video (90+2')
- 90+4' Goal: Aribim Pepple (assist: Freddie Issaka) — 2–0 · Watch Aribim Pepple's goal video (90+4')
Starting line-ups
Plymouth (4-2-3-1)
Exeter City (3-5-1-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Plymouth 31%, the draw 26%, Exeter City 43%. It finished Plymouth 2–0 Exeter City.
Exeter City's rating edge outweighs Plymouth's home ground — Exeter City are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their control of the ball on top gives Exeter City the lean. The draw at 26% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Exeter City at 43%?
Exeter City sit 148 points higher on our strength rating — 1373 to 1521. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.2% of 13,030 such games. Exeter City hold 11 more possession points (43 to 32 in recent games) across a 148-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,578 such games where the class table expected 41.3%. The 300 most similar past games finished 37–26–37.
Why only 43%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 43% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 26% and Plymouth at 31%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.7 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,886. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. The control factor adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Exeter City have gained 74 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.5% of 12,131 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Plymouth vs Exeter City final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this League Cup fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Alex Hartridge's goal against Exeter City (90+2').
- Watch Aribim Pepple's goal against Exeter City (90+4').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Plymouth 2–0 Exeter City. Explore more on the Plymouth and Exeter City team pages or the League Cup page.