Preußen Münster vs Karlsruher SC — DFB Pokal: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow3 clips- 35′Preußen Münster, goal:1–0
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Karlsruher SC, substitution:off
- 63′Preußen Münster, substitution:off
- 63′Preußen Münster, substitution:off
- 69′Karlsruher SC, goal:1–1assist
- 74′Karlsruher SC, substitution:off
- 79′Preußen Münster, substitution:off
- 81′Karlsruher SC, goal:1–2assist
- 85′Preußen Münster, substitution:off
- 85′Preußen Münster, substitution:off
- 86′Karlsruher SC, substitution:off
- 90′Karlsruher SC, substitution:off
- 90′Karlsruher SC, yellow card:Foul
- 90+5′Preußen Münster, red card:Foul
- Full-time1 – 2
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Player Ratings
Preußen Münster
Karlsruher SC
Match report
Karlsruher SC come from behind to beat Preußen Münster in DFB Pokal
Preußen Münster's stay in the DFB Pokal round of 64 ended in a 2-1 defeat to Karlsruher SC at the Preussenstadion, the visitors overturning a half-time deficit to advance. Montell Ndikom had given the hosts the lead midway through the first half, but two second-half goals from Karlsruher turned the tie in their favour.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Ndikom struck in the 35th minute to send Münster in ahead at the break, capping a first period in which the hosts had shown enough to trouble Karlsruher. The visitors responded after the hour, with Marvin Wanitzek levelling in the 69th minute from an assist by D. Ofli before Sebastian Jung put Karlsruher ahead in the 81st minute, finishing a move set up by Moritz Broschinski.
Münster's afternoon soured further deep into stoppage time when Samuel Moïse Althaus was sent off in the 90+5th minute, leaving the hosts to finish the match a man light as Karlsruher held on for the win. Karlsruher controlled much of the play throughout, dominating possession and creating more chances than their hosts across the ninety-plus minutes.
Wanitzek scored the equaliser and finished with a match-high rating of 7.9, while Jung's late strike and 7.5 rating underlined Karlsruher's decisive second-half showing.
Karlsruher's 14 shots to Münster's eight reflected their greater threat going forward over the course of the match.
Karlsruher SC won 2–1 away against Preußen Münster (half-time 1–0).
Preußen Münster met Karlsruher SC in the DFB Pokal (Round of 64). Kick-off was Friday, 21 August 2026, 16:00 UTC at Preussenstadion. Referee: Florian Badstubner.
Team pages: Preußen Münster · Karlsruher SC · DFB Pokal
Key moments
- 35' Goal: Montell Ndikom — 1–0 · Watch Montell Ndikom's goal video (35')
- 69' Goal: Marvin Wanitzek (assist: D. Ofli) — 1–1 · Watch Marvin Wanitzek's goal video (69')
- 81' Goal: Sebastian Jung (assist: Moritz Broschinski) — 1–2
- 90+5' Red card: Samuel Moïse Althaus
Starting line-ups
Preußen Münster (3-4-2-1)
Karlsruher SC (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Preußen Münster 31%, the draw 26%, Karlsruher SC 43%. It finished Preußen Münster 1–2 Karlsruher SC.
Karlsruher SC's rating edge outweighs Preußen Münster's home ground — Karlsruher SC are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their control of the ball on top gives Karlsruher SC the lean. The draw at 26% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Karlsruher SC at 43%?
Karlsruher SC sit 135 points higher on our strength rating — 1388 to 1523. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,064 such games. Karlsruher SC hold 11 more possession points (52 to 41 in recent games) across a 135-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,602 such games where the class table expected 41.3%. The 300 most similar past games finished 38–22–40.
Why only 43%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 43% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 26% and Preußen Münster at 31%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,957. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. The control factor adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Preußen Münster have shed 86 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,632 such games vs 34.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Last 4 between them: Preußen Münster 0 wins, 2 draws, Karlsruher SC 2 wins. Most recently Preußen Münster 0–2 Karlsruher SC, 7 months ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 28.1% of 5578 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Preußen Münster vs Karlsruher SC final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this DFB Pokal fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Montell Ndikom's goal against Karlsruher SC (35').
- Watch Marvin Wanitzek's goal against Preußen Münster (69').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Preußen Münster 1–2 Karlsruher SC. Explore more on the Preußen Münster and Karlsruher SC team pages or the DFB Pokal page.