Guimaraes vs Moreirense — Primeira Liga: stats, lineups & analysis
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- 12′Guimaraes, substitution:off
- Half-time
- 52′Moreirense, goal:0–1assist
- 57′Guimaraes, substitution:off
- 57′Guimaraes, substitution:off
- 57′Guimaraes, substitution:off
- 63′Moreirense, substitution:off
- 63′Moreirense, substitution:off
- 66′Moreirense, substitution:off
- 67′Moreirense, substitution:off
- 72′Guimaraes, substitution:off
- 89′Moreirense, substitution:off
- 90′Guimaraes, goal:1–1assist
- Full-time1 – 1
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Guimaraes
Moreirense
Match report
Borevković's stoppage-time leveller rescues point for Guimaraes
Guimaraes and Moreirense shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Primeira Liga at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, a result that did little to lift either side clear of the lower reaches of the table on matchday seven. The hosts dominated territory but could not find a breakthrough before the interval, with the sides level at 0-0 at half-time.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Moreirense broke the deadlock shortly after the restart when Tiago Andrade converted an assist from Leonardo Vonić in the 52nd minute to put the away side 1-0 ahead. Guimaraes pressed for an equaliser for the remainder of the match, dominating possession and territory, but Moreirense held firm deep into stoppage time.
It was not until the sixth minute of added time that Guimaraes found their reward, Toni Borevković converting a chance set up by Miguel Nogueira to level the score at 1-1 and snatch a point at the death. The draw ended a run of results for Guimaraes that had included three defeats in their previous five matches, while Moreirense saw a two-match winning sequence in their recent form interrupted.
Andrade struck the only goal of normal play for Moreirense in the 52nd minute and finished with the highest rating on the pitch at 7.94, while Borevković's stoppage-time equaliser for Guimaraes earned him a rating of 7.74.
Guimaraes dominated the ball with 66% possession but managed only one more shot on target than their visitors, reflecting the difficulty they had turning control into clear chances.
Guimaraes and Moreirense drew 1–1 (half-time 0–0).
Guimaraes met Moreirense in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off was Sunday, 20 September 2026, 14:30 UTC at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques. Referee: Sergio Guelho.
Team pages: Guimaraes · Moreirense · Primeira Liga
Key moments
- 52' Goal: Tiago Andrade (assist: Leonardo Vonić) — 0–1
- 90' Goal: Toni Borevković (assist: Miguel Nogueira) — 1–1
Starting line-ups
Guimaraes (4-2-3-1)
- 48 Oliwier Zych
- 13 João Mendes (c)
- 28 Thiago Balieiro
- 21 Toni Borevković
- 23 Tony Strata
- 44 Lohann Doucet
- 8 Gonçalo Nogueira
- 7 Oumar Camara
- 10 Alan
- 11 Gustavo
- 9 Arnel Jakupovic
Moreirense (3-4-2-1)
- 13 André Ferreira
- 27 Kiko
- 66 Gilberto Batista
- 26 Maracás
- 19 Tiago Andrade
- 65 Guilherme Liberato
- 23 Nile John
- 76 Dinis Pinto (c)
- 7 Manuel Mendonça
- 10 Kiko Bondoso
- 79 Leonardo Vonić
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Guimaraes 53%, the draw 27%, Moreirense 20%. It finished Guimaraes 1–1 Moreirense.
Guimaraes' rating edge, but the draw is in play — Guimaraes are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and Moreirense's hot finishing due to cool plus their control of the ball on top give Guimaraes the lean. The draw at 27% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Guimaraes at 53%?
Guimaraes sit 85 points higher on our strength rating — 1662 to 1577. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.4% of 10,491 such games. Moreirense scored +0.36 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 28.8% of 1,512 games, vs 29.1% for visitors finishing normally. Guimaraes hold 11 more possession points (56 to 45 in recent games) across a 85-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,703 such games where the class table expected 41.3%.
Why only 53%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 53% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 27% and Moreirense at 20%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Moreirense win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.7 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,886. The cool-off factor takes 1.5 points off the draw. The goals environment adds 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Guimaraes sit -0.83 goals per game under chance-quality. For home sides we could not receipt a bounce-back — the measured cells sit inside each other's noise bands — so this is noted and scores 0. Guimaraes are 6 games into a new manager (Tiago Margarido), appointed 50 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Guimaraes vs Moreirense final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Primeira Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Guimaraes 1–1 Moreirense. Explore more on the Guimaraes and Moreirense team pages or the Primeira Liga page.