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play_arrow4 clips- -5′Samsunspor, yellow card:Argument
- 3′Amed, yellow card:Dangerous play
- 21′Samsunspor, goal:1–0assist
- 36′Samsunspor, yellow card:Foul
- 37′Samsunspor, second yellow card:Argument
- 37′Samsunspor, yellow card:Argument
- 45′Amed, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Amed, substitution:off
- 46′Amed, substitution:off
- 48′Amed, yellow card:Foul
- 60′Amed, yellow card:Argument
- 60′Amed, second yellow card:Foul
- 71′Samsunspor, substitution:off
- 72′Amed, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 73′Amed, penalty goal:1–1Penalty
- 73′Samsunspor, substitution:off
- 75′Amed, substitution:off
- 79′Samsunspor, substitution:off
- 83′Amed, goal:1–2assist
- 84′Samsunspor, substitution:off
- 85′Samsunspor, substitution:off
- 85′Amed, substitution:off
- 89′Amed, substitution:off
- 89′Samsunspor, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time1 – 2
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Key Stats
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Samsunspor
Amed
Match report
Amed come from behind to beat Samsunspor 2-1 and go top of the Süper Lig
Amed came from a goal down to beat Samsunspor 2-1 at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu in Süper Lig matchday 9, moving to the top of the table. Samsunspor led through Logi Tómasson, who scored on 21 minutes from a Tanguy Coulibaly assist, and they went into the break 1-0 up.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Samsunspor were reduced to ten men on 37 minutes when Afonso Sousa was sent off, yet they held their lead until the hour mark. Amed then lost Mbaye Diagne to a red card on 61 minutes, with the score still 1-0, and the match settled into a contest between two ten-man sides.
Gift Orban levelled from the penalty spot on 73 minutes, and he then supplied the pass for Dia Saba to score the winner on 84. Amed finished with 21 shots to six and eight corners to none, and the win lifted them from second to first, on 20 points from nine games.
Samsunspor stay 17th on four points and have now lost seven games in a row, while Amed are unbeaten in seven. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Amed a 27% chance of winning. Both sides play on Sunday 1 November in the Süper Lig: Samsunspor are away to Başakşehir and Amed host Eyüpspor.
Gift Orban scored the penalty that levelled the match and then set up Dia Saba for the winner, earning a rating of 7.3. Lumbardh Dellova was the top-rated performer on 7.9 for Amed.
Amed had 21 shots to Samsunspor's six, a gap that reflected their territorial control despite the early deficit.
Amed won 2–1 away against Samsunspor (half-time 1–0).
Samsunspor met Amed in the Süper Lig (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Saturday, 24 October 2026, 16:00 UTC at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu. Referee: Kadir Saglam.
Team pages: Samsunspor · Amed · Süper Lig
Key moments
- 21' Goal: Logi Tómasson (assist: Tanguy Coulibaly) — 1–0
- 37' Red card: Afonso Sousa
- 60' Red card: Mbaye Diagne
- 73' Goal (penalty): Gift Orban — 1–1 · Watch Gift Orban's goal video (73')
- 83' Goal: Dia Saba (assist: Gift Orban) — 1–2 · Watch Dia Saba's goal video (83')
Starting line-ups
Samsunspor (3-5-2)
Amed (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Samsunspor 51%, the draw 22%, Amed 27%. It finished Samsunspor 1–2 Amed.
Samsunspor's grip on the ball gives a slight lean — With the sides almost level on our strength rating, Samsunspor's habit of controlling the ball, 57 to 47 in possession lately, is the main reason we give them 51%, helped by Amed's recent scoring above their chances, a streak that tends to cool. The draw drops from a usual 27% to 22%, mostly because both teams' recent games average 3.4 goals.
Why Samsunspor in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1505 to 1533. Sides this close won 42.4% of 15,607 home games (draw 27.2%, visitors 30.4%). Samsunspor hold 10 more possession points (57 to 47 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 48.3% of 5,590 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level. Amed scored +0.36 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 27.5% of 1,625 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 51%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 22% and Amed at 27%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.4 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,375. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. The cool-off factor takes 2.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Samsunspor have shed 102 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.0% of 10,359 such games vs 33.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Amed have gained 73 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 40.0% of 11,927 such games vs 40.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Samsunspor vs Amed final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Süper Lig fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Samsunspor 1–2 Amed. Explore more on the Samsunspor and Amed team pages or the Süper Lig page.