Club Brugge KV vs 31.07.26 18:301 – 1(4-5 pen)After Pen
Union St. Gilloise — Belgian Super Cup: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise — the facts
Club Brugge KV and Union St. Gilloise drew 1–1 (half-time 0–0). Union St. Gilloise won the penalty shootout 5–4.
Club Brugge KV met Union St. Gilloise in the Belgian Super Cup (Final). Kick-off was Friday, 31 July 2026, 18:30 UTC.
Team pages: Club Brugge KV · Union St. Gilloise · Belgian Super Cup
Key moments
- 49' Goal: Nicolò Tresoldi — 1–0
- 77' Goal: Kevin Mac Allister (assist: Mohammed Fuseini) — 1–1
Starting line-ups
Club Brugge KV
Union St. Gilloise
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Club Brugge KV 51%, the draw 23%, Union St. Gilloise 26%. It finished Club Brugge KV 1–1 Union St. Gilloise.
Level sides, Club Brugge KV's control of the ball swings it — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Club Brugge KV's control of the ball gives Club Brugge KV the lean. The draw at 23% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Club Brugge KV in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1971 to 1944. Sides this close won 45.7% of 14,440 home games (draw 26.5%, visitors 27.8%). Club Brugge KV hold 6 more possession points (54 to 48 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 48.0% of 5,142 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level.
Why only 51%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Club Brugge KV scored +0.59 goals per game beyond chance-quality — home sides this hot gave some of it back. Opponents of hot-finishing home sides won 28.3% of 1,441 games, vs 27.9% against normal finishing.
Why is the draw only 23%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.4 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,822. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Club Brugge KV are unbeaten in their last 10 league games at home. Rolling home runs look imposing but sides on a 6+ run won 56.3% of 13,470 games vs 54.6% class-expected — and in our walked test the rating already carried it. Club Brugge KV's last five: W-W-W-D-W — clearly the hotter side on recent results, and unbeaten in their last 7. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.8% of 2178 games when clearly hotter and 42.9% of 3985 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Belgian Super Cup fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Club Brugge KV and Union St. Gilloise team pages or the Belgian Super Cup page.