Larne vs FK Crvena Zvezda — UEFA Champions League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow4 clips- 20′FK Crvena Zvezda, yellow card:Foul
- 26′FK Crvena Zvezda, penalty goal:0–1Penalty
- 28′Larne, yellow card:Foul
- 34′Larne, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Larne, substitution:K. O'Haraoff
- 46′FK Crvena Zvezda, substitution:off
- 55′FK Crvena Zvezda, goal:0–2assist
- 63′Larne, substitution:off
- 67′FK Crvena Zvezda, goal:0–3assist
- 73′FK Crvena Zvezda, substitution:off
- 73′FK Crvena Zvezda, substitution:off
- 73′FK Crvena Zvezda, substitution:off
- 76′Larne, substitution:offR. Doherty
- 76′Larne, substitution:off
- 81′FK Crvena Zvezda, substitution:off
- 85′FK Crvena Zvezda, goal:0–4assist
- Full-time0 – 4
Lineups
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Match report
Larne vs FK Crvena Zvezda — the facts
FK Crvena Zvezda won 4–0 away against Larne (half-time 0–1).
Larne met FK Crvena Zvezda in the UEFA Champions League (2nd Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Tuesday, 21 July 2026, 19:00 UTC at Inver Park. Referee: Rares George Vidican.
Team pages: Larne · FK Crvena Zvezda · UEFA Champions League
Key moments
- 26' Goal (penalty): Bruno Duarte — 0–1 · Watch Bruno Duarte's goal video (26')
- 55' Goal: Vasilije Kostov (assist: Osman Bukari) — 0–2 · Watch Vasilije Kostov's goal video (55')
- 67' Goal: Bruno Duarte (assist: Mohamed Abu Fani) — 0–3 · Watch Bruno Duarte's goal video (67')
- 85' Goal: Muhammed Cham (assist: Aleksandar Katai) — 0–4 · Watch Muhammed Cham's goal video (85')
Starting line-ups
Larne (4-3-3)
FK Crvena Zvezda (4-3-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Larne 13%, the draw 19%, FK Crvena Zvezda 68%. It finished Larne 0–4 FK Crvena Zvezda.
FK Crvena Zvezda's rating gap outweighs Larne's home ground — FK Crvena Zvezda are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of FK Crvena Zvezda's 68%. The draw at 19% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why FK Crvena Zvezda at 68%?
FK Crvena Zvezda sit 638 points higher on our strength rating — 1106 to 1744. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge on the road won 65.9% of 5,122 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 13–15–72.
Why only 68%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 68% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 19% and Larne at 13%.
Why is the draw only 19%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 16.2%. These teams' recent games average 1.6 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,007. The goals environment adds 2.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
FK Crvena Zvezda average 10 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 638 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Larne vs FK Crvena Zvezda final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Champions League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Bruno Duarte's goal against Larne (26').
- Watch Vasilije Kostov's goal against Larne (55').
- Watch Bruno Duarte's goal against Larne (67').
- Watch Muhammed Cham's goal against Larne (85').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Larne 0–4 FK Crvena Zvezda. Explore more on the Larne and FK Crvena Zvezda team pages or the UEFA Champions League page.