Match report
Ilves vs Stjarnan — the facts
Ilves beat Stjarnan 1–0 (half-time 0–0). Ilves won the penalty shootout 5–4.
Ilves met Stjarnan in the UEFA Europa Conference League (2nd Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 30 July 2026, 16:00 UTC at Tammelan Stadion. Referee: Mervan Bejtullahu.
Team pages: Ilves · Stjarnan · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 52' Goal: Jesse Kilo (assist: Jardell Kanga) — 1–0 · Watch Jesse Kilo's goal video (52')
Starting line-ups
Ilves (3-4-2-1)
- 12 Faris Krkalić
- 3 Matias Rale
- 5 Sauli Väisänen
- 16 Tatu Miettunen
- 13 Kalle Wallius
- 14 Anton Popovitch
- 22 Oskari Multala
- 4 Oliver Pettersson
- 4 Oliver Pettersson
- 28 Jesse Kilo
- 30 Jardell Kanga
- 9 Teemu Hytönen
Stjarnan (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Ilves 45%, the draw 24%, Stjarnan 31%. It finished Ilves 1–0 Stjarnan.
Level sides, only home ground separates them — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Ilves' 45% is home ground and little else. The draw at 24% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Ilves in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1269 to 1274. Sides this close won 43.2% of 15,749 home games (draw 26.7%, visitors 30.1%).
Why only 45%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 24% and Stjarnan at 31%.
Why the draw at 24%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.4 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,814. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Stjarnan's last five: W-D-W — clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.8% of 2177 games when clearly hotter and 42.9% of 3983 when clearly colder. Ilves have 14 fully-tracked matches with us — under our usual 25-game bar — but their strength rating is anchored to the long-run European club ratings list, which carries their wider competitive history into the number. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Ilves vs Stjarnan final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Ilves 1–0 Stjarnan. Explore more on the Ilves and Stjarnan team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Ilves vs Stjarnan?
Ilves beat Stjarnan 1–0 (half-time 0–0). Ilves won the penalty shootout 5–4.
›Who scored in Ilves vs Stjarnan?
Jesse Kilo (52') for Ilves.
›Where can I watch Ilves vs Stjarnan highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from Ilves 1–0 Stjarnan are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between Ilves and Stjarnan?
Ilves and Stjarnan have met 1 time — 0 wins for Ilves, 1 win for Stjarnan and 0 draws.