Koper vs NSI Runavik — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow4 clips- 22′Koper, yellow card:Foul
- 25′Koper, missed penalty:Missed penalty
- 35′NSI Runavik, goal:0–1assist
- Half-time0 – 1
- 58′Koper, yellow card:Foul
- 67′Koper, substitution:off
- 68′Koper, substitution:off
- 70′Koper, yellow card:Argument
- 70′NSI Runavik, goal:0–2
- 71′Koper, yellow card:Argument
- 74′NSI Runavik, substitution:off
- 79′Koper, substitution:off
- 79′Koper, substitution:off
- 85′Koper, substitution:off
- 87′NSI Runavik, substitution:off
- 90+5′Koper, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time0 – 2
- 91′Koper, substitution:off
- 99′NSI Runavik, yellow card:Foul
- 101′NSI Runavik, yellow card:Foul
- 101′NSI Runavik, yellow card:Argument
- 102′Koper, penalty goal:Penalty
- 102′NSI Runavik, yellow card:Argument
- 103′NSI Runavik, substitution:off
- Half-time · E.T.0 – 2
- 106′NSI Runavik, yellow card:Foul
- 111′Koper, yellow card:Time wasting
- 115′NSI Runavik, substitution:off
- 120′NSI Runavik, goal:assist
Koper3
NSI Runavik4Lineups
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Match report
Koper vs NSI Runavik — the facts
NSI Runavik won 2–0 away against Koper (half-time 0–1). NSI Runavik won the penalty shootout 4–3.
Koper met NSI Runavik in the UEFA Europa Conference League (2nd Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 30 July 2026, 18:45 UTC at Bonifika. Referee: Matthias Jollenbeck.
Team pages: Koper · NSI Runavik · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 35' Goal: Beinir Nolsøe (assist: Sammy Skytte) — 0–1 · Watch Beinir Nolsøe's goal video (35')
- 70' Goal: Marius Lindh — 0–2 · Watch Marius Lindh's goal video (70')
Starting line-ups
Koper (4-3-1-2)
NSI Runavik (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Koper 75%, the draw 14%, NSI Runavik 11%. It finished Koper 0–2 NSI Runavik.
Koper's rating gap decides it — Koper are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Koper's 75%. The draw at 14% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Koper at 75%?
Koper sit 398 points higher on our strength rating — 1421 to 1023. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge at home won 79.8% of 5,033 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 72–16–12.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 75% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 14% and NSI Runavik at 11%.
Why is the draw only 14%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 15.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,814. The goals environment takes 1.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
NSI Runavik have gained 98 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.5% of 12,089 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Koper (15 fully-tracked matches with us) and NSI Runavik (19) carry strength ratings anchored to the long-run European club ratings list, so the class read stands on far more than our own short records. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Koper vs NSI Runavik final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Koper 0–2 NSI Runavik. Explore more on the Koper and NSI Runavik team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.