Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty — UEFA Champions League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow1 clip- 46′Levski Sofia, substitution:off
- 60′Kairat Almaty, substitution:off
- 61′Kairat Almaty, substitution:off
- 64′Levski Sofia, substitution:off
- 77′Kairat Almaty, substitution:off
- 77′Kairat Almaty, substitution:off
- 78′Levski Sofia, substitution:off
- 88′Kairat Almaty, substitution:off
- 90′Levski Sofia, substitution:off
- 90′Levski Sofia, goal:1–0assist
- 90+3′Levski Sofia, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time1 – 0
Lineups
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Match report
Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty — the facts
Levski Sofia beat Kairat Almaty 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
Levski Sofia met Kairat Almaty in the UEFA Champions League (3rd Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Tuesday, 4 August 2026, 17:30 UTC at Georgi Asparuhov Stadium. Referee: Donatas Rumsas.
Team pages: Levski Sofia · Kairat Almaty · UEFA Champions League
Key moments
- 90' Goal: Serginho (assist: Mazire Soula) — 1–0 · Watch Serginho's goal video (90')
Starting line-ups
Levski Sofia (4-3-3)
Kairat Almaty (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Levski Sofia 46%, the draw 28%, Kairat Almaty 26%. It finished Levski Sofia 1–0 Kairat Almaty.
Level sides, Levski Sofia's control of the ball swings it — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Levski Sofia's control of the ball gives Levski Sofia the lean. The draw at 28% is what level sides usually produce.
Why Levski Sofia in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1506 to 1543. Sides this close won 43.2% of 15,755 home games (draw 26.7%, visitors 30.1%). Levski Sofia hold 9 more possession points (49 to 40 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 47.9% of 5,147 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level.
Why only 46%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 28% and Kairat Almaty at 26%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Kairat Almaty win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.7%. These teams' recent games average 2.4 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,478. The goals environment adds 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Kairat Almaty have gained 97 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.5% of 12,098 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Champions League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Levski Sofia 1–0 Kairat Almaty. Explore more on the Levski Sofia and Kairat Almaty team pages or the UEFA Champions League page.