Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz — UEFA Champions League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow2 clips- 9′Fenerbahçe, goal:1–0assist
- 21′Sturm Graz, yellow card:Foul
- 30′Fenerbahçe, substitution:off
- 45′Fenerbahçe, goal:2–0assist
- Half-time2 – 0
- 46′Sturm Graz, substitution:off
- 58′Sturm Graz, yellow card:Foul
- 64′Sturm Graz, substitution:off
- 64′Sturm Graz, substitution:off
- 64′Sturm Graz, substitution:off
- 65′Sturm Graz, yellow card:Simulation
- 69′Fenerbahçe, substitution:off
- 69′Fenerbahçe, substitution:off
- 85′Fenerbahçe, substitution:off
- 85′Fenerbahçe, substitution:off
- 87′Sturm Graz, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 0
Lineups
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Fenerbahçe
Sturm Graz
Match report
Fenerbahçe overwhelm Sturm Graz to seize control of qualifying tie
Fenerbahçe took a commanding 2-0 lead over Sturm Graz in the first leg of their UEFA Champions League third qualifying round tie, played at the Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu. The home side led at half-time and never looked in danger of relinquishing that advantage as the visitors struggled to make an impression.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Talisca opened the scoring in the ninth minute, finishing off an assist from Kerem Aktürkoğlu to put the hosts ahead early. Fenerbahçe doubled their lead right on the stroke of half-time when Mason Greenwood converted a Marco Asensio assist, sending the sides in at the break with the contest already looking settled at 2-0.
The second half produced no further goals, with Fenerbahçe content to manage their advantage under Ismail Kartal. Sturm Graz, managed by Fabio Ingolitsch, were unable to find a way back into the game and finished with just one shot on target, while referee Chris Kavanagh booked three of their players as frustration grew.
Milan Škriniar was the top-rated performer on the pitch with a rating of 8.9, anchoring the Fenerbahçe defence as the hosts kept Sturm Graz at arm's length throughout.
Fenerbahçe dominated possession with 72% of the ball, underlining their control over the tempo of the match.
Fenerbahçe beat Sturm Graz 2–0 (half-time 2–0).
Fenerbahçe met Sturm Graz in the UEFA Champions League (3rd Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Wednesday, 5 August 2026, 18:00 UTC at Chobani Stadium. Referee: Chris Kavanagh.
Team pages: Fenerbahçe · Sturm Graz · UEFA Champions League
Key moments
- 9' Goal: Talisca (assist: Kerem Aktürkoğlu) — 1–0 · Watch Talisca's goal video (9')
- 45' Goal: Mason Greenwood (assist: Marco Asensio) — 2–0 · Watch Mason Greenwood's goal video (45')
Starting line-ups
Fenerbahçe (4-2-3-1)
Sturm Graz (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Fenerbahçe 76%, the draw 18%, Sturm Graz 6%. It finished Fenerbahçe 2–0 Sturm Graz.
Fenerbahçe's rating gap decides it — Fenerbahçe are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Fenerbahçe's 76%. The draw at 18% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Fenerbahçe at 76%?
Fenerbahçe sit 364 points higher on our strength rating — 1946 to 1582. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge at home won 79.7% of 5,042 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 76–18–6.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 76% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 18% and Sturm Graz at 6%.
Why is the draw only 18%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 17.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,484.
What did we measure but not count?
Fenerbahçe average 16 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 364 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Fenerbahçe are unbeaten in their last 19 league games at home. Rolling home runs look imposing but sides on a 6+ run won 56.3% of 13,474 games vs 54.6% class-expected — and in our walked test the rating already carried it.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Champions League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Fenerbahçe 2–0 Sturm Graz. Explore more on the Fenerbahçe and Sturm Graz team pages or the UEFA Champions League page.

