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Match report
Larne and Saburtalo drew 0–0 (half-time 0–0).
Larne met Saburtalo in the UEFA Europa League (3rd Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Tuesday, 4 August 2026, 19:00 UTC at Inver Park. Referee: Mohammad Al-Emara.
Team pages: Larne · Saburtalo · UEFA Europa League
Before kick-off Sirius gave Larne 35%, the draw 26%, Saburtalo 39%. It finished Larne 0–0 Saburtalo.
Saburtalo's rating edge outweighs Larne's home ground — Saburtalo are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Saburtalo's 39%. The draw at 26% is trimmed by a league that produces few draws.
Saburtalo sit 166 points higher on our strength rating — 1103 to 1269. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.2% of 13,007 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 34–28–38.
UEFA Europa League home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (22.8% vs 24.9% norm). UEFA Europa League homes won 47.5% of 4,388 games vs 44.9% across all 98,747 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,478. UEFA Europa League produces fewer draws than most, taking 2.1 points off. The goals environment adds 1.3 points to the draw.
Saburtalo have 23 fully-tracked matches with us — under our usual 25-game bar — but their strength rating is anchored to the long-run European club ratings list, which carries their wider competitive history into the number. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the Larne vs Saburtalo final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa League fixture.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Larne and Saburtalo team pages or the UEFA Europa League page.
Larne and Saburtalo drew 0–0 (half-time 0–0).
Neither side scored — the match finished 0–0.
This page carries the full match report, stats and lineups for Larne vs Saburtalo; goal clips are added as soon as official highlights are available.
Larne and Saburtalo have met 1 time — 0 wins for Larne, 1 win for Saburtalo and 0 draws.