Dinamo Tirana vs 20.08.26 19:001 – 1Full Time
Pafos — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Late Lelê penalty rescues draw for Pafos at Dinamo Tirana
Dinamo Tirana and Pafos shared the points in a 1-1 draw at Elbasan Arena in the Europa Conference League playoff round, a result that left both sides with work still to do after a goalless first half gave little hint of the late drama to come.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The deadlock finally broke in the 79th minute when D. Fadairo converted an assist from Adamu Ibrahim Alhassan to put Dinamo Tirana ahead. The lead lasted only three minutes, however, as Lelê stepped up to score from the penalty spot and level the score at 1-1, a blow that stood as the final action of note.
Pafos edged possession at 53 percent to Dinamo Tirana's 47, though the home side matched their opponents closely on goal attempts, registering four shots on target to three. Dinamo Tirana also picked up more cautions, with four yellow cards shown against two for the visitors, in a contest that finished level.
Lelê proved decisive off the bench of substitutions with a composed 82nd-minute penalty that denied Dinamo Tirana victory.
Pafos shaded territorial control with 53 percent possession despite playing away from home.
Dinamo Tirana and Pafos drew 1–1 (half-time 0–0).
Dinamo Tirana met Pafos in the UEFA Europa Conference League (Playoff round). Kick-off was Thursday, 20 August 2026, 19:00 UTC at Elbasan Arena. Referee: Lawrence Visser.
Team pages: Dinamo Tirana · Pafos · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 79' Goal: David Fadairo (assist: Adamu Ibrahim Alhassan) — 1–0
- 82' Goal (penalty): Lelê — 1–1
Starting line-ups
Dinamo Tirana (4-3-3)
- 77 Aldo Teqja
- 13 Fabjan Përndreca
- 27 Naser Aliji
- 22 Bruno Dita
- 2 U. Ismaili
- 2 Ysni Ismaili
- 21 Klevi Qefalija
- 10 Lorenco Vila
- 20 Malomo Ayodeji
- 8 Eridon Qardaku
- 11 Ruben Silva-Richards
- 29 Hekuran Berisha
Pafos (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Dinamo Tirana 20%, the draw 24%, Pafos 56%. It finished Dinamo Tirana 1–1 Pafos.
Pafos' rating gap outweighs Dinamo Tirana's home ground — Pafos are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Pafos' 56%. The draw at 24% is up from the usual 22.5% for a gap this size, as small adjustments add up.
Why Pafos at 56%?
Pafos sit 348 points higher on our strength rating — 1282 to 1630. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge on the road won 65.8% of 5,181 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 22–24–54.
Why only 56%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 56% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 24% and Dinamo Tirana at 20%.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 22.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,595. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Dinamo Tirana have gained 93 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.5% of 12,179 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Dinamo Tirana's last five: W-D-W-L-W — clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.8% of 2185 games when clearly hotter and 42.9% of 3995 when clearly colder. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Dinamo Tirana vs Pafos final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Dinamo Tirana and Pafos team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.