FC Nordsjaelland vs 22.10.26 16:452 – 2Full Time
CSKA Sofia — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsUEFAUEFA.comMatch Events
play_arrow2 clips- 8′CSKA Sofia, goal:0–1assist
- 20′CSKA Sofia, yellow card:Foul
- 30′FC Nordsjaelland, substitution:off
- 36′FC Nordsjaelland, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time0 – 1
- 55′FC Nordsjaelland, goal:1–1assist
- 59′FC Nordsjaelland, yellow card:Foul
- 61′FC Nordsjaelland, substitution:off
- 62′FC Nordsjaelland, substitution:off
- 65′CSKA Sofia, substitution:off
- 67′FC Nordsjaelland, goal:2–1assist
- 76′FC Nordsjaelland, second yellow card:Foul
- 77′CSKA Sofia, substitution:off
- 77′CSKA Sofia, substitution:off
- 81′FC Nordsjaelland, substitution:off
- 81′FC Nordsjaelland, substitution:off
- 84′CSKA Sofia, yellow card:Foul
- 84′CSKA Sofia, substitution:off
- 88′CSKA Sofia, goal:2–2
- 90′FC Nordsjaelland, yellow card:Argument
- 90′CSKA Sofia, yellow card:Argument
- 90′CSKA Sofia, yellow card:Argument
- 90′FC Nordsjaelland, yellow card:Argument
- Full-time2 – 2
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FC Nordsjaelland
CSKA Sofia
Match report
FC Nordsjaelland denied by late Godoy equaliser against CSKA Sofia
FC Nordsjaelland and CSKA Sofia drew 2-2 at Right to Dream Park on matchday 2 of the UEFA Europa Conference League league stage. The home side led for a spell in the second half through Ibrahim Adel's two goals, but a red card and a late equaliser from Santiago Godoy cost them a win.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
CSKA Sofia took the lead in the eighth minute when Godoy finished from a Stefano Sensi assist, and they carried a 1-0 advantage into the interval. FC Nordsjaelland came out sharper after the break. Adel levelled in the 55th minute from Noah Markmann's pass, then put the hosts ahead in the 67th with a goal set up by Alexander Lind.
The match turned in the 76th minute when Justin Janssen was sent off, leaving FC Nordsjaelland with ten men while 2-1 up. From that point they scored none and conceded one: Godoy struck again in the 88th minute to make it 2-2. CSKA Sofia ended a run of four defeats in a row, while FC Nordsjaelland are now unbeaten in seven games. Both sides next play on Thursday 5 November, FC Nordsjaelland away to Monaco and CSKA Sofia away to Panathinaikos, each in the Europa Conference League.
Adel scored twice for FC Nordsjaelland, in the 55th and 67th minutes, and received a rating of 10.0. Godoy matched his tally for CSKA Sofia, scoring the opener and the late equaliser.
CSKA Sofia had 15 shots to FC Nordsjaelland's 12, despite the hosts holding 55 per cent of possession.
FC Nordsjaelland and CSKA Sofia drew 2–2 (half-time 0–1).
FC Nordsjaelland met CSKA Sofia in the UEFA Europa Conference League (League Stage - 2). Kick-off was Thursday, 22 October 2026, 16:45 UTC at Right to Dream Park. Referee: Robert Jones.
Team pages: FC Nordsjaelland · CSKA Sofia · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 8' Goal: Santiago Godoy (assist: Stefano Sensi) — 0–1 · Watch Santiago Godoy's goal video (8')
- 55' Goal: Ibrahim Adel (assist: Noah Markmann) — 1–1 · Watch Ibrahim Adel's goal video (55')
- 67' Goal: Ibrahim Adel (assist: Alexander Lind) — 2–1
- 76' Red card: Justin Janssen
- 88' Goal: Santiago Godoy — 2–2
Starting line-ups
FC Nordsjaelland (3-4-3)
CSKA Sofia (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave FC Nordsjaelland 65%, the draw 22%, CSKA Sofia 13%. It finished FC Nordsjaelland 2–2 CSKA Sofia.
Strength gap puts FC Nordsjaelland clearly ahead — We give FC Nordsjaelland 65% mainly because they sit 196 points higher on our strength rating, 1606 to 1409, with the usual home advantage adding to that. The draw sits at 22%, close to the usual 23% for a gap this size, nudged down slightly because both teams' own recent games average 3.0 goals.
Why FC Nordsjaelland at 65%?
FC Nordsjaelland sit 196 points higher on our strength rating — 1606 to 1409. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 66.8% of 6,594 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 63–24–13.
Why only 65%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 65% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 22% and CSKA Sofia at 13%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 23.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,276.
What did we measure but not count?
FC Nordsjaelland have averaged 7 percentage points more possession than CSKA Sofia in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. CSKA Sofia are 1 game into a new manager (Markus Gisdol), appointed 7 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Santiago Godoy's goal against FC Nordsjaelland (8').
- Watch Ibrahim Adel's goal against CSKA Sofia (55').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from FC Nordsjaelland 2–2 CSKA Sofia. Explore more on the FC Nordsjaelland and CSKA Sofia team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.