HighlightsUEFAUEFA.comMatch Events
play_arrow1 clip- 7′Riga, goal disallowed:Goal cancelled
- 13′Pafos, goal disallowed:Goal cancelled
- Half-time
- 46′Pafos, substitution:off
- 49′Pafos, yellow card:Argument
- 61′Pafos, substitution:off
- 65′Pafos, substitution:off
- 66′Riga, substitution:off
- 66′Riga, substitution:off
- 67′Riga, goal:0–1assist
- 71′Pafos, substitution:off
- 76′Pafos, goal:1–1assist
- 78′Riga, substitution:off
- 87′Pafos, yellow card:Foul
- 88′Riga, substitution:off
- 90′Riga, yellow card:Time wasting
- Full-time1 – 1
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Pafos
Riga
Match report
Pafos draw 1-1 with Riga after Biel cancels out Caio's opener
Pafos and Riga drew 1-1 at Alphamega Stadium in the second round of the UEFA Europa Conference League's league stage. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the match was settled by two goals in the last half-hour, with neither side able to find a winner.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Riga took the lead in the 67th minute when Caio finished from a Salah Oulad M'Hand assist to make it 1-0. Pafos needed only nine minutes to respond. Biel equalised in the 76th minute, converting a delivery from Ken Sema, and the scoreline did not change thereafter.
The statistics point to a closely contested match. Possession was split 50% apiece, with Riga having 15 shots to Pafos's 13, though Pafos had three on target to Riga's two. Pafos won ten corners to four, while Riga committed 14 fouls to the hosts' seven. Pafos collected the only yellow card.
The draw extended Riga's unbeaten run to nine games. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given the draw a 20% chance. Both sides are in action again on Thursday 5 November: Pafos travel to Twente, while Riga host FK Jablonec, both in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
Biel earned the top rating on the night, 7.9, for his 76th-minute equaliser. Salah Oulad M'Hand, who set up Caio's opener, and Caio himself were both rated 7.6.
Pafos won ten corners to Riga's four, yet could convert only one of their 13 shots.
Pafos and Riga drew 1–1 (half-time 0–0).
Pafos met Riga in the UEFA Europa Conference League (League Stage - 2). Kick-off was Thursday, 22 October 2026, 16:45 UTC at Alphamega Stadium. Referee: Marian Barbu.
Team pages: Pafos · Riga · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 67' Goal: Caio (assist: Salah Oulad M'Hand) — 0–1 · Watch Caio's goal video (67')
- 76' Goal: Biel (assist: Ken Sema) — 1–1
Starting line-ups
Pafos (4-3-3)
- 99 Radosław Majecki
- 14 Nicholas Ioannou
- 4 David Luiz (c)
- 3 Samy Mmaee
- 7 Bruno Felipe
- 6 Guga
- 50 Alexandre Brito
- 30 Vlad Dragomir
- 20 Biel
- 33 Anderson Silva
- 77 João Correia
Riga (4-3-1-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Pafos 67%, the draw 20%, Riga 13%. It finished Pafos 1–1 Riga.
Pafos lead on a clear strength gap — Pafos sit 174 points higher on our strength rating, 1545 to 1370, and with the usual home advantage on top we give them 67% to Riga's 13%. The draw sits at 20%, close to the usual rate for a gap this size, nudged down slightly because both sides' own recent games average 2.8 goals.
Why Pafos at 67%?
Pafos sit 174 points higher on our strength rating — 1545 to 1370. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 66.8% of 6,594 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 64–20–16.
Why only 67%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 67% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 20% and Riga at 13%.
Why is the draw only 20%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.9%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,276.
What did we measure but not count?
Riga have averaged 6 percentage points more possession than Pafos in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Riga's last five in the competitions we cover: W-D-D-W-D — the hotter side across the games we track. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 43.6% of 1912 games when clearly hotter and 43.6% of 3672 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Pafos vs Riga final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Pafos 1–1 Riga. Explore more on the Pafos and Riga team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.