Knokke vs Seraing United — Belgian Cup: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 3′Seraing United, goal:0–1
- 9′Seraing United, goal:0–2
- 16′Seraing United, goal:0–3
- Half-time0 – 3
- 56′Seraing United, goal:0–4
- 57′Seraing United, goal:0–5
- 66′Knokke, goal:1–5A. Mbega
- 86′Knokke, goal:2–5J. Colman
- Full-time2 – 5
Match report
Knokke vs Seraing United — the facts
Seraing United won 5–2 away against Knokke (half-time 0–3).
Knokke met Seraing United in the Belgian Cup (Round of 64). Kick-off was Sunday, 27 September 2026, 14:00 UTC at Burgemeester Graaf Leopold Lippens Park.
Team pages: Knokke · Seraing United · Belgian Cup
Key moments
- 3' Goal: Amine Messoussa — 0–1
- 9' Goal: Anas Namri — 0–2
- 16' Goal: Amine Messoussa — 0–3
- 56' Goal: Amine Messoussa — 0–4
- 57' Goal: Tom Lockman — 0–5
- 66' Goal: A. Mbega — 1–5
- 86' Goal: J. Colman — 2–5
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Knokke 57%, the draw 24%, Seraing United 19%. It finished Knokke 2–5 Seraing United.
Knokke's rating edge carries it — Knokke are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Knokke's 57%. The draw at 24% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Knokke at 57%?
Knokke sit 90 points higher on our strength rating — 1378 to 1287. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.8% of 13,271 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 51–25–24.
Why only 57%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 57% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 24% and Seraing United at 19%.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.7%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 25,150.
What did we measure but not count?
Knokke arrive with 12 fully-tracked matches, so their strength number is a first estimate that will move quickly; Seraing United bring a 79-game record. New-to-the-record sides are where our rating knows least.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Knokke vs Seraing United final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Belgian Cup fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Knokke and Seraing United team pages or the Belgian Cup page.