Match preview
Heist vs Kortrijk — the facts
Heist meet Kortrijk in the Cup (Round of 64). Kick-off is Saturday, 26 September 2026, 18:00 UTC at Gemeentelijk Sportcentrum.
Sirius · Why these numbers
Heist 51% · Draw 26% · Kortrijk 23%
A slight rating edge to Heist, little else — Heist are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and that is most of Heist's 51%. The draw at 26% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Heist at 51%?
Heist sit 71 points higher on our strength rating — 1557 to 1486. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.4% of 10,499 such games.
Why only 51%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 51% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 26% and Kortrijk at 23%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 25,179.
What did we measure but not count?
Heist arrive with 7 fully-tracked matches, so their strength number is a first estimate that will move quickly; Kortrijk bring a 348-game record. New-to-the-record sides are where our rating knows least.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Heist vs Kortrijk, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Cup fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Heist and Kortrijk team pages or the Cup page.
Quick answers
›What time does Heist vs Kortrijk kick off?
Kick-off is Saturday, 26 September 2026, 18:00 UTC at Gemeentelijk Sportcentrum, a Cup fixture.
›Where can I watch Heist vs Kortrijk goal clips and highlights?
Goal clips and match highlights will be published on this page — each goal video is added shortly after it goes in, with highlights after full-time.