Hatayspor vs Karaköprü Belediyespor — Türkiye Kupası: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 68′Karaköprü Belediyespor, goal:0–1S. Yildirim
- 79′Karaköprü Belediyespor, goal:0–2E. Karadeniz
- 82′Hatayspor, goal:1–2
- Full-time1 – 2
Match report
Karaköprü Belediyespor come from behind to beat Hatayspor
Karaköprü Belediyespor won 2-1 away at Hatayspor in the second round of the Türkiye Kupası. The two sides were level at 0-0 at half-time, and the contest was settled by three goals in a 14-minute spell of the second half.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The breakthrough came in the 68th minute, when S. Yildirim put the visitors in front. E. Karadeniz doubled the lead in the 79th minute, giving Karaköprü Belediyespor a 2-0 advantage with just over ten minutes remaining.
Hatayspor pulled one back in the 82nd minute through Ali Yıldız, but could not find an equaliser. The hosts went into the tie having lost each of their last four games, conceding 12 goals and scoring three in that run, and that sequence continued here.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Karaköprü Belediyespor a 29% chance of winning. Their next game is a Türkiye Kupası tie away to Gençlerbirliği S.K. on Thursday 29 October.
Karaköprü Belediyespor won 2–1 away against Hatayspor (half-time 0–0).
Hatayspor met Karaköprü Belediyespor in the Türkiye Kupası (2nd Round). Kick-off was Wednesday, 7 October 2026, 11:00 UTC.
Team pages: Hatayspor · Karaköprü Belediyespor · Türkiye Kupası
Key moments
- 68' Goal: S. Yildirim — 0–1
- 79' Goal: E. Karadeniz — 0–2
- 82' Goal: Ali Yıldız — 1–2
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Hatayspor 47%, the draw 24%, Karaköprü Belediyespor 29%. It finished Hatayspor 1–2 Karaköprü Belediyespor.
Level sides, only home ground separates them — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Hatayspor's 47% is home ground and little else. The draw at 24% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Hatayspor in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1320 to 1316. Sides this close won 45.9% of 13,650 home games (draw 27.4%, visitors 26.6%).
Why only 47%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Hatayspor scored +0.50 goals per game beyond chance-quality — home sides this hot gave some of it back. Opponents of hot-finishing home sides won 29.1% of 1,441 games, vs 27.3% against normal finishing.
Why the draw at 24%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.4%. These teams' recent games average 4.0 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,839. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw. The hot streak factor takes 1.0 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Karaköprü Belediyespor arrive with 6 fully-tracked matches, so their strength number is a first estimate that will move quickly; Hatayspor bring a 200-game record. New-to-the-record sides are where our rating knows least.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Hatayspor vs Karaköprü Belediyespor final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Türkiye Kupası fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Hatayspor and Karaköprü Belediyespor team pages or the Türkiye Kupası page.