Hatayspor vs 07.10.26 11:001 – 2Full Time
Karaköprü Belediyespor — Türkiye Kupası: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 68′Karaköprü Belediyespor, goal:0–1S. Yildirim
- 79′Karaköprü Belediyespor, goal:0–2E. Karadeniz
- 82′Hatayspor, goal:1–2
- Full-time1 – 2
Match report
Hatayspor vs Karaköprü Belediyespor — the facts
Karaköprü Belediyespor won 2–1 away against Hatayspor (half-time 0–0).
Hatayspor met Karaköprü Belediyespor in the Türkiye Kupası (2nd Round). Kick-off was Wednesday, 7 October 2026, 11:00 UTC.
Team pages: Hatayspor · Karaköprü Belediyespor · Türkiye Kupası
Key moments
- 68' Goal: S. Yildirim — 0–1
- 79' Goal: E. Karadeniz — 0–2
- 82' Goal: Ali Yıldız — 1–2
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Hatayspor 47%, the draw 24%, Karaköprü Belediyespor 29%. It finished Hatayspor 1–2 Karaköprü Belediyespor.
Level sides, only home ground separates them — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Hatayspor's 47% is home ground and little else. The draw at 24% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Hatayspor in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1320 to 1316. Sides this close won 45.9% of 13,650 home games (draw 27.4%, visitors 26.6%).
Why only 47%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Hatayspor scored +0.50 goals per game beyond chance-quality — home sides this hot gave some of it back. Opponents of hot-finishing home sides won 29.1% of 1,441 games, vs 27.3% against normal finishing.
Why the draw at 24%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.4%. These teams' recent games average 4.0 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,839. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw. The hot streak factor takes 1.0 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Karaköprü Belediyespor arrive with 6 fully-tracked matches, so their strength number is a first estimate that will move quickly; Hatayspor bring a 200-game record. New-to-the-record sides are where our rating knows least.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Hatayspor vs Karaköprü Belediyespor final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Türkiye Kupası fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Hatayspor and Karaköprü Belediyespor team pages or the Türkiye Kupası page.