De Treffers vs Heracles — KNVB Beker: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 33′Heracles, yellow card:Foul
- 35′De Treffers, yellow card:Argument
- Half-time
- 46′Heracles, substitution:off
- 50′Heracles, yellow card:Simulation
- 52′De Treffers, yellow card:Foul
- 55′Heracles, second yellow card:Handball
- 60′Heracles, substitution:off
- 60′Heracles, substitution:off
- 60′Heracles, substitution:off
- 61′De Treffers, goal:1–0assist
- 64′De Treffers, yellow card:Foul
- 68′De Treffers, yellow card:Foul
- 74′De Treffers, substitution:off
- 75′Heracles, yellow card:Foul
- 76′Heracles, substitution:off
- 76′Heracles, substitution:off
- 83′De Treffers, substitution:off
- 84′De Treffers, substitution:off
- 89′De Treffers, substitution:off
- 90+3′De Treffers, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 0
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goal
Assist
Player Ratings
De Treffers
Heracles
Match report
De Treffers edge Heracles after Borac red card
De Treffers beat Heracles 1-0 in the KNVB Beker round of 64 at Sportpark Zuid, a single goal in the second half separating the sides. The match was goalless at the interval, with neither team finding a way through before the break.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The contest turned in the 55th minute, when Mario Borac was shown a red card, leaving Heracles with ten men. Six minutes later De Treffers took the lead, Sebastiaan van Bakel finishing from K. Keizer's assist to make it 1-0 in the 61st minute.
Heracles, who had 60 per cent of the possession, could not respond. De Treffers had 13 shots to 8 and put seven on target to the visitors' one, and held on without further incident. Borac's dismissal came with the score still 0-0, and from then on Heracles scored none and conceded one.
The defeat was Heracles' seventh in a row, and they are now without a win in 14 games.
Sebastiaan van Bakel scored the only goal of the match, converting K. Keizer's assist in the 61st minute, and earned a rating of 7.7. B. Brussaard matched that rating for De Treffers.
De Treffers put seven of their 13 shots on target, while Heracles managed just one from their eight attempts.
De Treffers beat Heracles 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
De Treffers met Heracles in the KNVB Beker (Round of 64). Kick-off was Thursday, 29 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Sportpark Zuid. Referee: R. Sturm.
Team pages: De Treffers · Heracles · KNVB Beker
Key moments
- 55' Red card: Mario Borac
- 61' Goal: Sebastiaan van Bakel (assist: K. Keizer) — 1–0
Starting line-ups
De Treffers (3-4-3)
Heracles (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave De Treffers 42%, the draw 26%, Heracles 32%. It finished De Treffers 1–0 Heracles.
Home advantage gives De Treffers a slight lean — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, home advantage puts De Treffers slightly ahead at 42%, though Heracles have scored below what their chances deserved, and cold streaks like that have tended to bounce back. The draw sits at 26%, a little under the usual 27.5%, because both teams' recent games average 3.5 goals.
Why De Treffers in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1339 to 1333. Sides this close won 46.0% of 14,554 home games (draw 27.5%, visitors 26.6%).
Why only 42%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Heracles sit -0.55 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 32.0% of 1,664 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally.
Why the draw at 26%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,489. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. The bounce-back factor adds 1.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Heracles have shed 73 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.0% of 10,392 such games vs 33.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. De Treffers arrive with 8 fully-tracked matches, so their strength number is a first estimate that will move quickly; Heracles bring a 351-game record. New-to-the-record sides are where our rating knows least.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the De Treffers vs Heracles final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this KNVB Beker fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the De Treffers and Heracles team pages or the KNVB Beker page.