Fatih Karagümrük vs Somaspor — Türkiye Kupası: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
Fatih Karagümrük3
Somaspor1Match report
Fatih Karagümrük beat Somaspor on penalties after goalless Türkiye Kupası tie
Fatih Karagümrük advanced from their Türkiye Kupası third-round tie against Somaspor, winning 3-1 on penalties after the teams finished 0-0 following 90 minutes. Neither side found a way through in a contest that was level at half-time and remained level at the final whistle, leaving the shootout to settle it.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The shootout went decisively the way of the hosts, who converted three kicks to Somaspor's one to take their place in the next round. Somaspor, who had beaten Alanya 1221 FK 4-2 at home in their previous game, could not repeat the scoring of that outing and failed to break down Karagümrük over the 90 minutes.
The progress extended a solid run for Karagümrük under Onur Can Korkmaz. They had won each of their previous three games before this tie, including a 2-1 home victory over Alanyaspor in their latest outing, and of their last five home games they had won four.
Fatih Karagümrük and Somaspor drew 0–0 (half-time 0–0). Fatih Karagümrük won the penalty shootout 3–1.
Fatih Karagümrük met Somaspor in the Türkiye Kupası (3rd Round). Kick-off was Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 12:00 UTC.
Team pages: Fatih Karagümrük · Somaspor · Türkiye Kupası
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Fatih Karagümrük 57%, the draw 24%, Somaspor 19%. It finished Fatih Karagümrük 0–0 Somaspor.
Fatih Karagümrük's stronger rating gives them the edge — We give Fatih Karagümrük 57% mainly because they sit 142 points higher on our strength rating, 1478 to 1336, with the usual home advantage adding to that. The draw sits at 24%, just under the usual 25% for a gap this size, as both sides' own recent games average 3.1 goals.
Why Fatih Karagümrük at 57%?
Fatih Karagümrük sit 142 points higher on our strength rating — 1478 to 1336. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.5% of 14,351 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 64–20–16.
Why only 57%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 57% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 24% and Somaspor at 19%.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,217.
What did we measure but not count?
Somaspor arrive with 7 fully-tracked matches, so their strength number is a first estimate that will move quickly; Fatih Karagümrük bring a 203-game record. New-to-the-record sides are where our rating knows least.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Fatih Karagümrük vs Somaspor final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Türkiye Kupası fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Fatih Karagümrük and Somaspor team pages or the Türkiye Kupası page.