Ağrı 1970 vs İstanbulspor — Türkiye Kupası: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 71′İstanbulspor, goal:0–1
- 85′İstanbulspor, goal:0–2
- 87′Ağrı 1970, goal:1–2assist
- Full-time1 – 2
Match report
Nizam double sees İstanbulspor past Ağrı 1970
İstanbulspor won 2-1 away at Ağrı 1970 in the third round of the Türkiye Kupası, scoring twice in the closing stages to turn a goalless contest into a victory. The two sides went in level at 0-0 at half-time, and the first goal did not arrive until the 71st minute.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
B. Nizam broke the deadlock for the visitors in the 71st minute, putting İstanbulspor 1-0 up. He struck again in the 85th minute to make it 2-0, leaving Ağrı 1970 with only five minutes of normal time left to find a way back.
The hosts did respond almost immediately. Alperen Yilmaz scored in the 87th minute from an A. Gundogdu assist to cut the deficit to 2-1, but İstanbulspor held on through the remaining time to secure their place in the next round.
B. Nizam scored both of İstanbulspor's goals, in the 71st and 85th minutes, and decided a match that had been goalless for 70 minutes.
İstanbulspor won 2–1 away against Ağrı 1970 (half-time 0–0).
Ağrı 1970 met İstanbulspor in the Türkiye Kupası (3rd Round). Kick-off was Tuesday, 27 October 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Team pages: Ağrı 1970 · İstanbulspor · Türkiye Kupası
Key moments
- 71' Goal: B. Nizam — 0–1
- 85' Goal: B. Nizam — 0–2
- 87' Goal: Alperen Yilmaz (assist: A. Gundogdu) — 1–2
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Ağrı 1970 32%, the draw 24%, İstanbulspor 44%. It finished Ağrı 1970 1–2 İstanbulspor.
İstanbulspor's stronger rating gives them a slight lean — İstanbulspor lead mainly because they sit 87 points higher on our strength rating, and their recent finishing below their chances adds a little, since cold streaks like this have tended to bounce back. The draw starts near 28% for a gap this size but drops to 24%, as both sides' recent games average 3.2 goals and that finishing streak lowers it further.
Why İstanbulspor at 44%?
İstanbulspor sit 87 points higher on our strength rating — 1400 to 1312. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,815 such games. İstanbulspor sit -0.48 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.4% of 2,954 such games where the class table expected 35.6%. The 300 most similar past games finished 36–24–40.
Why only 44%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 44% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 24% and Ağrı 1970 at 32%.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,446. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw. The bounce-back factor takes 1.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Ağrı 1970 arrive with 6 fully-tracked matches, so their strength number is a first estimate that will move quickly; İstanbulspor bring a 90-game record. New-to-the-record sides are where our rating knows least.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Ağrı 1970 vs İstanbulspor final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Türkiye Kupası fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Ağrı 1970 and İstanbulspor team pages or the Türkiye Kupası page.